SMC1809 wrote:

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Steven, I'm sure you can confirm, but it looks like Bally will be overtaking Oudin too. She was ranked 41st with 1272 points. However, she has 500 coming off from last years USO, but only reached R2 this year.

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The table already takes into account that Oudin will drop a long way (she's provisional WR 73) - I showed her below Elena when I first set it up, but I have since removed anyone who went out before the end of R2 and wasn't close enough to potentially overtake if they played in Biella.

Btw the Chinese press has apparently been reporting that Peng injured her wrist in a doubles match last night and might not even be able to play against Petkovic.

 

It's virtually certain to mean she's top 50 - Dominguez Lino, who has just started her R3 match against Cibulkova can still overtake but would need to reach the semis and while 3 of the WCs for Biella have been named, it's unclear who the fourth is (unless you only get 3 MD WCs in 100Ks - I can't find a rule about it), so it's just about possible, if very improbable that two players could still overtake.

Cibulkova has just won 0 & 1 - I'm now confident that Elena will definitely be in the top 50 on Monday week

WR 49 if none of her chasers gets the last WC at Biella and assuming the USO start figures I originally used (from TBE on tennisforum, who's usually v reliable but like all of us who do lots of stats, capable of getting the odd thing wrong from time to time) were correct.

I've been thinking that too - I imagine she was quite annoyed when Schnyder and Dulko passed her!