2010 Predictions

Salmon · Tennis legend

RE: 2010 Predictions

The Knight · Challenger qualifying

if id just put Ward as year end 98 and not that fiend Evans, id hav a chance

Shhh · Challenger level

An update for you, so far, the only player everybody has underestimated is Bally. There are two that we all overestimated, Dan Evans who appeared to go off the rails slightly this year for a while and worryingly, Jamie Baker who has a stack of further points about to come off.

Flemski will almost certainly struggle to hold their positions and there are other decent points to defend.....maybe a few large scores will still be added? Much can change but, to date, the table looks like this.

(Can anybody catch Maza who is way out in front?????)

		Total
Pos.		Points

1	Maza 1987	361
2	kinley	432
3	kasledop	466
4	DUSTY DICK	497
5	Akhenaten	498
6	philwrig	499
7	Malteaser	533
8	seagull	549
9	Tutu	572
10	indiana	578
11	Silver	584
12	Shhh	603
13	freerider	607
14	steven	613
15	Smidster	619
16	RobH	630
17	wolf	637
18	The Hoose	644
19	imeon	664
20	The Shedman	674
21	Josh	680
22	Count Zero	688
23	RedCabbage	693
23	James	693
25	ForeverDelayed	694
26	The Knight	725
27	johnnylad	889

Shhh · Challenger level

For the record, a table showing where everybody's original predictions and to the right, how far they are out (either plus or minus on their original selection)

			James	Dan	Jamie		Ken	Jonny	Jamie			Katie	Sarah		James	Dan	Jamie		Ken	Jonny	Jamie			Katie	Sarah
Position		Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell	Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell
		(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)
	Start Of Year	164	271	261	314	50	54	92	105	84	100	88	84

	20th September	222	230	342	259	62	50	108	91	50	148	131	65

1	Shhh	150	140	190	215	35	30	75	45	70	80	110	75	72	90	152	44	27	20	33	46	-20	68	21	-10
2	The Knight	155	163	98	139	37	14	110	63	73	61	119	79	67	67	244	120	25	36	-2	28	-23	87	12	-14
3	Count Zero	100	175	150	200	39	20	125	65	75	65	110	80	122	55	192	59	23	30	-17	26	-25	83	21	-15
4	freerider	105	222	180	170	76	15	110	99	88	120	110	150	117	8	162	89	-14	35	-2	-8	-38	28	21	-85
5	philwrig	175	195	195	175	65	29	135	65	70	65	125	65	47	35	147	84	-3	21	-27	26	-20	83	6	0
6	johnnylad	135	88	117	94	47	18	80	90	56	45	80	99	87	142	225	165	15	32	28	1	-6	103	51	-34
7	indiana	140	155	220	180	35	30	80	80	75	90	100	85	82	75	122	79	27	20	28	11	-25	58	31	-20
8	kasledop	179	233	228	181	72	28	86	94	73	63	91	88	43	-3	114	78	-10	22	22	-3	-23	85	40	-23
9	DUSTY DICK	155	184	237	208	48	30	115	61	77	64	109	89	67	46	105	51	14	20	-7	30	-27	84	22	-24
10	Maza 1987	195	202	220	225	65	35	120	70	75	120	115	95	27	28	122	34	-3	15	-12	21	-25	28	16	-30
11	RobH	148	267	199	171	51	34	39	101	98	72	108	100	74	-37	143	88	11	16	69	-10	-48	76	23	-35
12	Josh	120	280	185	150	60	22	140	80	75	80	85	115	102	-50	157	109	2	28	-32	11	-25	68	46	-50
13	James	105	205	170	130	55	24	110	65	85	65	90	95	117	25	172	129	7	26	-2	26	-35	83	41	-30
14	Akhenaten	195	295	235	215	75	20	140	80	105	95	100	95	27	-65	107	44	-13	30	-32	11	-55	53	31	-30
15	seagull	141	202	230	187	31	30	98	86	122	93	89	86	81	28	112	72	31	20	10	5	-72	55	42	-21
16	kinley	173	220	225	250	38	42	150	90	90	235	120	99	49	10	117	9	24	8	-42	1	-40	-87	11	-34
17	wolf	150	305	190	160	45	18	60	60	55	75	98	65	72	-75	152	99	17	32	48	31	-5	73	33	0
18	The Hoose	240	320	104	245	40	58	75	65	180	104	130	85	-18	-90	238	14	22	-8	33	26	-130	44	1	-20
19	steven	120	220	150	160	50	25	75	80	55	70	110	90	102	10	192	99	12	25	33	11	-5	78	21	-25
20	RedCabbage	282	417	171	255	53	71	51	40	84	81	133	99	-60	-187	171	4	9	-21	57	51	-34	67	-2	-34
21	ForeverDelayed	150	200	170	150	30	25	60	40	120	100	110	65	72	30	172	109	32	25	48	51	-70	48	21	0
22	Smidster	183	235	187	152	32	45	71	68	132	89	82	93	39	-5	155	107	30	5	37	23	-82	59	49	-28
23	The Shedman	130	180	185	150	75	15	90	80	70	45	85	85	92	50	157	109	-13	35	18	11	-20	103	46	-20
24	imeon	106	175	240	143	28	19	76	77	85	68	90	73	116	55	102	116	34	31	32	14	-35	80	41	-8
25	Malteaser	130	210	250	90	70	40	80	81	70	80	130	100	92	20	92	169	-8	10	28	10	-20	68	1	-35
26	Silver	160	165	220	150	70	20	50	55	60	90	110	60	62	65	122	109	-8	30	58	36	-10	58	21	5
27	Tutu	230	211	103	187	60	53	95	41	96	42	132	78	-8	19	239	72	2	-3	13	50	-46	106	-1	-13
		4252	5864	5049	4732	1382	810	2496	1921	2314	2257	2871	2388
Average Score		163.5	225.5	194.2	182	53.15	31.154	96	73.88	89	86.81	110.42	91.846

indiana · Tennis legend

We watch it all, think we have seen it all, but still we can't help being generally too optimistic ! Think most of us are looking for huge end of season successes smile

Very good from Maza1987. If you ignore Evo ( who for this comp many of us would like to to varying degrees ! ) the worst he's out with anyone is 34 places.

kinley in 2nd ( who said at outset "very pessimistic am afraid - would love to come last" ) would be right up there with Maza1987 if he'd been just slightly more pessimistic than everyone else re Anne K ( who everyone else is currently looking too optimistic with ) instead of 115 places more pessimistic than anyone else and have her as 235th. With nothing to defend now, she can only move towards the optimists. A move up of precisely 58 places would do nicely smile

Congrats to Bally ( currently higher than everyone's end of year prediction ) and Sarah for outdoing even our collective optimism !

Maza1987 · Challenger level

Wohooo.

And my Dad said I'd never amount to anything. Well, in your face, Dad. IN YOUR FACE!

biggrin

Shhh · Challenger level

As the season nears its end I thought I'd type up another update. The ladies appear to be complete now, the gents have 3 weeks of challengers to go. As we saw this week, some big points can still be won and, most of us need them to improve our scores (being hopefully optimistic predictors biggrin

)

Remember, you score a point for every position your prediction is out, whether a plus or a minus.

Position		Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell	Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell
		(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)
	Start Of Year	164	271	261	314	50	54	92	105	84	100	88	84

	8th November	267	217	337	358	50	79	113	65	55	123	180	70

1	Shhh	150	140	190	215	35	30	75	45	70	80	110	75	117	77	147	143	15	49	38	20	-15	43	70	-5
2	The Knight	155	163	98	139	37	14	110	63	73	61	119	79	112	54	239	219	13	65	3	2	-18	62	61	-9
3	Count Zero	100	175	150	200	39	20	125	65	75	65	110	80	167	42	187	158	11	59	-12	0	-20	58	70	-10
4	freerider	105	222	180	170	76	15	110	99	88	120	110	150	162	-5	157	188	-26	64	3	-34	-33	3	70	-80
5	philwrig	175	195	195	175	65	29	135	65	70	65	125	65	92	22	142	183	-15	50	-22	0	-15	58	55	5
6	johnnylad	135	88	117	94	47	18	80	90	56	45	80	99	132	129	220	264	3	61	33	-25	-1	78	100	-29
7	indiana	140	155	220	180	35	30	80	80	75	90	100	85	127	62	117	178	15	49	33	-15	-20	33	80	-15
8	kasledop	179	233	228	181	72	28	86	94	73	63	91	88	88	-16	109	177	-22	51	27	-29	-18	60	89	-18
9	DUSTY DICK	155	184	237	208	48	30	115	61	77	64	109	89	112	33	100	150	2	49	-2	4	-22	59	71	-19
10	Maza 1987	195	202	220	225	65	35	120	70	75	120	115	95	72	15	117	133	-15	44	-7	-5	-20	3	65	-25
11	RobH	148	267	199	171	51	34	39	101	98	72	108	100	119	-50	138	187	-1	45	74	-36	-43	51	72	-30
12	Josh	120	280	185	150	60	22	140	80	75	80	85	115	147	-63	152	208	-10	57	-27	-15	-20	43	95	-45
13	James	105	205	170	130	55	24	110	65	85	65	90	95	162	12	167	228	-5	55	3	0	-30	58	90	-25
14	Akhenaten	195	295	235	215	75	20	140	80	105	95	100	95	72	-78	102	143	-25	59	-27	-15	-50	28	80	-25
15	seagull	141	202	230	187	31	30	98	86	122	93	89	86	126	15	107	171	19	49	15	-21	-67	30	91	-16
16	kinley	173	220	225	250	38	42	150	90	90	235	120	99	94	-3	112	108	12	37	-37	-25	-35	-112	60	-29
17	wolf	150	305	190	160	45	18	60	60	55	75	98	65	117	-88	147	198	5	61	53	5	0	48	82	5
18	The Hoose	240	320	104	245	40	58	75	65	180	104	130	85	27	-103	233	113	10	21	38	0	-125	19	50	-15
19	steven	120	220	150	160	50	25	75	80	55	70	110	90	147	-3	187	198	0	54	38	-15	0	53	70	-20
20	RedCabbage	282	417	171	255	53	71	51	40	84	81	133	99	-15	-200	166	103	-3	8	62	25	-29	42	47	-29
21	ForeverDelayed	150	200	170	150	30	25	60	40	120	100	110	65	117	17	167	208	20	54	53	25	-65	23	70	5
22	Smidster	183	235	187	152	32	45	71	68	132	89	82	93	84	-18	150	206	18	34	42	-3	-77	34	98	-23
23	The Shedman	130	180	185	150	75	15	90	80	70	45	85	85	137	37	152	208	-25	64	23	-15	-15	78	95	-15
24	imeon	106	175	240	143	28	19	76	77	85	68	90	73	161	42	97	215	22	60	37	-12	-30	55	90	-3
25	Malteaser	130	210	250	90	70	40	80	81	70	80	130	100	137	7	87	268	-20	39	33	-16	-15	43	50	-30
26	Silver	160	165	220	150	70	20	50	55	60	90	110	60	107	52	117	208	-20	59	63	10	-5	33	70	10
27	Tutu	230	211	103	187	60	53	95	41	96	42	132	78	37	6	234	171	-10	26	18	24	-41	81	48	-8
		4252	5864	5049	4732	1382	810	2496	1921	2314	2257	2871	2388
Average Score		163.5	225.5	194.2	182	53.15	31.154	96	73.88	89	86.81	110.42	91.846

Shhh · Challenger level

The points table to date shows us all falling about 150 places in the last 2 months. Maza1987 still leads the way but The Hoose has risen 15 places to 3rd.....can Maza be caught????? (Septembers positions are shown first)

Sept	Nov		Total
Position	Position		Points

1	1	Maza 1987	521
4	2	DUSTY DICK	623
18	3	The Hoose	644
6	4	philwrig	659
2	5	kinley	664
3	6	kasledop	704
5	6	Akhenaten	704
9	6	Tutu	704
8	9	seagull	727
23	10	RedCabbage	729
12	11	Shhh	739
10	12	indiana	744
7	13	Malteaser	745
11	14	Silver	754
17	14	wolf	754
14	16	steven	785
15	17	Smidster	787
22	18	Count Zero	794
13	19	freerider	824
19	19	imeon	824
25	19	ForeverDelayed	824
23	22	James	835
16	23	RobH	846
26	24	The Knight	857
20	25	The Shedman	864
21	26	Josh	882
27	27	johnnylad	1057

Shhh · Challenger level

Our final table. A few positions exchanged since I last updated but nobody could get near Maza 1987. All bow down to the prediction king (well for 2010 anyway!)

Thanks for taking part, just a bit of fun. I have run something like this for the last couple of years but actually find very time consuming so will not do one for 2011 (plus I never win hmm

) Maybe someone else wants to do a version?

Final		Total
Position		Points

1	Maza 1987	570
2	DUSTY DICK	664
3	philwrig	704
4	kinley	749
5	Tutu	753
6	RedCabbage	760
7	Shhh	770
8	seagull	776
9	kasledop	781
9	Silver	781
11	Akhenaten	783
12	indiana	791
13	Malteaser	808
14	The Hoose	833
15	Count Zero	843
16	ForeverDelayed	853
17	steven	864
18	Smidster	866
19	imeon	871
20	wolf	876
21	James	888
22	The Knight	900
23	freerider	902
24	The Shedman	909
25	RobH	923
26	Josh	961
27	johnnylad	1122

Shhh · Challenger level

A glimpse of where the points were won and lost. Some players we all over/under estimated. There were very few direct hits though, to be fair, there are quite a few within 5 points.

			James	Dan	Jamie		Ken	Jonny	Jamie			Katie	Sarah		James	Dan	Jamie		Ken	Jonny	Jamie			Katie	Sarah
Position		Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell	Boggo	Ward	Evans	Baker	Rosco	Skupski	Marray	Murray	Bally	AnneK	O'Brien	Borwell
		(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MS)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(MD)	(WS)	(WS)	(WS)	(WD)
	Start Of Year	164	271	261	314	50	54	92	105	84	100	88	84

	13th December	291	201	363	368	51	77	112	57	55	121	178	69

1	Shhh	150	140	190	215	35	30	75	45	70	80	110	75	141	61	173	153	16	47	37	12	-15	41	68	-6
2	The Knight	155	163	98	139	37	14	110	63	73	61	119	79	136	38	265	229	14	63	2	-6	-18	60	59	-10
3	Count Zero	100	175	150	200	39	20	125	65	75	65	110	80	191	26	213	168	12	57	-13	-8	-20	56	68	-11
4	freerider	105	222	180	170	76	15	110	99	88	120	110	150	186	-21	183	198	-25	62	2	-42	-33	1	68	-81
5	philwrig	175	195	195	175	65	29	135	65	70	65	125	65	116	6	168	193	-14	48	-23	-8	-15	56	53	4
6	johnnylad	135	88	117	94	47	18	80	90	56	45	80	99	156	113	246	274	4	59	32	-33	-1	76	98	-30
7	indiana	140	155	220	180	35	30	80	80	75	90	100	85	151	46	143	188	16	47	32	-23	-20	31	78	-16
8	kasledop	179	233	228	181	72	28	86	94	73	63	91	88	112	-32	135	187	-21	49	26	-37	-18	58	87	-19
9	DUSTY DICK	155	184	237	208	48	30	115	61	77	64	109	89	136	17	126	160	3	47	-3	-4	-22	57	69	-20
10	Maza 1987	195	202	220	225	65	35	120	70	75	120	115	95	96	-1	143	143	-14	42	-8	-13	-20	1	63	-26
11	RobH	148	267	199	171	51	34	39	101	98	72	108	100	143	-66	164	197	0	43	73	-44	-43	49	70	-31
12	Josh	120	280	185	150	60	22	140	80	75	80	85	115	171	-79	178	218	-9	55	-28	-23	-20	41	93	-46
13	James	105	205	170	130	55	24	110	65	85	65	90	95	186	-4	193	238	-4	53	2	-8	-30	56	88	-26
14	Akhenaten	195	295	235	215	75	20	140	80	105	95	100	95	96	-94	128	153	-24	57	-28	-23	-50	26	78	-26
15	seagull	141	202	230	187	31	30	98	86	122	93	89	86	150	-1	133	181	20	47	14	-29	-67	28	89	-17
16	kinley	173	220	225	250	38	42	150	90	90	235	120	99	118	-19	138	118	13	35	-38	-33	-35	-114	58	-30
17	wolf	150	305	190	160	45	18	60	60	55	75	98	65	141	-104	173	208	6	59	52	-3	0	46	80	4
18	The Hoose	240	320	104	245	40	58	75	65	180	104	130	85	51	-119	259	123	11	19	37	-8	-125	17	48	-16
19	steven	120	220	150	160	50	25	75	80	55	70	110	90	171	-19	213	208	1	52	37	-23	0	51	68	-21
20	RedCabbage	282	417	171	255	53	71	51	40	84	81	133	99	9	-216	192	113	-2	6	61	17	-29	40	45	-30
21	ForeverDelayed	150	200	170	150	30	25	60	40	120	100	110	65	141	1	193	218	21	52	52	17	-65	21	68	4
22	Smidster	183	235	187	152	32	45	71	68	132	89	82	93	108	-34	176	216	19	32	41	-11	-77	32	96	-24
23	The Shedman	130	180	185	150	75	15	90	80	70	45	85	85	161	21	178	218	-24	62	22	-23	-15	76	93	-16
24	imeon	106	175	240	143	28	19	76	77	85	68	90	73	185	26	123	225	23	58	36	-20	-30	53	88	-4
25	Malteaser	130	210	250	90	70	40	80	81	70	80	130	100	161	-9	113	278	-19	37	32	-24	-15	41	48	-31
26	Silver	160	165	220	150	70	20	50	55	60	90	110	60	131	36	143	218	-19	57	62	2	-5	31	68	9
27	Tutu	230	211	103	187	60	53	95	41	96	42	132	78	61	-10	260	181	-9	24	17	16	-41	79	46	-9
		4252	5864	5049	4732	1382	810	2496	1921	2314	2257	2871	2388
Average Score		163.5	225.5	194.2	182	53.15	31.154	96	73.88	89	86.81	110.42	91.846