i know what you mean, she seems to have lost to a lot of similarly ranked players and, while that isn't too bad, i guess youd want her to kick on and beat 200+ ranked players comfortably. That said, she's up to 215 only 30 places off her CH
Mel flying solo in the doubles as well. Cav's coach is blaming poor officialdom for her 2 reverses today. Does he have a point or is he just a bad loser?
I think at least a SF spot should be the expectation here. Julia appears to be the weakest of the army of Mayrs (is Patricia Mayr related to the other two? She appears to be from a different country) even though she beat Laine last round (how come she dropped out of the top 400!? Injury!?) who beat Mel last month.
From what I can tell she needs to win this to gain any points. I think a final berth is pretty realistic looking at the QF lineup - but whichever of the four in the other half of the draw gets through it would be a tricky match.
-- Edited by RedCabbage on Friday 23rd of October 2009 03:21:15 PM
I think at least a SF spot should be the expectation here. Julia appears to be the weakest of the army of Mayrs (is Patricia Mayr related to the other two? She appears to be from a different country) even though she beat Laine last round (how come she dropped out of the top 400!? Injury!?) who beat Mel last month.
From what I can tell she needs to win this to gain any points. I think a final berth is pretty realistic looking at the QF lineup - but whichever of the four in the other half of the draw gets through it would be a tricky match.
-- Edited by RedCabbage on Friday 23rd of October 2009 03:21:15 PM
It's more of a damage limitation exercise, given the points she has coming off over the next month, to ensure she stays somewhere inside the top 200. It's her first SF of the year, which is a positive, and I agree that she is favourite for a place in the final - something she could badly use as a confidence booster for next year.
Emma Laine played a lot of tournaments in the year she pushed her ranking up to around 50, and that may have contributed to her subsequent problems (mainly health and fitness a la Naomi C rather than injury).
Mel will actually drop 26 points on Monday. Glasgow points only go on a week on Monday, when she is defending 50 points from a $25K title win in Australia last year so she needs to win the title here simply to maintain her points total then.
She has a further 76 points to defend during the following 4 weeks ( that's it for the year ), and only 3 points currently to replace them with.
As of now, she will have 346 points on Monday week when the Glasgow points get added and would have 372 points if she wins the title here.
200th place is currently 279 points so given the potential for some more points yet this year including for instance in this tournament, she should stay in the top 200 OK.
eg. if she won the title here she would be guaranteed to end the year on at least 299 points ( 372 - 73 )
It would be really good though if starting from here she can actually win at least similar points to last year to maintain her ranking position nearer the 150 level.
-- Edited by indiana on Saturday 24th of October 2009 05:03:25 PM