Although I've fallen down to about 10th, the 4th round went superbly for me, all my predicted semi-finalists won. Here's hoping for Federer, Djokovic, Nadal and del Potro winning in the QFs.
Although I've fallen down to about 10th, the 4th round went superbly for me, all my predicted semi-finalists won. Here's hoping for Federer, Djokovic, Nadal and del Potro winning in the QFs.
I would say you're a warm favourite - Nole and Potty as Q/f winners would move you up about a net 8 points ( 5 x .75 pt gain for Nole and 5 x .87 pt gain for Potty ), and you have both your finalist picks standing , which is more than about 80% of people left.
I'm reasonably hopeful of a top 20 myself - if nole wins his QF and Rafa wins a semi final I should move up about net 10 pts
I was wondering; how is the number of ranking points per event determined?
I'm guessing they're awarded for how well you do relatively to everyone else, rather than in absolute terms, but is there a simple formula underlying it or is it all quite involved and messy?
500 for 1st place, 1 for last, with evenly spaced gaps for the rest, rounded to the nearest whole point - e.g. if there were 250 entrants, it would be 500 for 1st, 498 for 2nd, 496 for 3rd, 493 each for 2 players in 4th=, etc.
Plus, to reward people who go out on a limb and get proved right, you also get 2 bonus points for every 0.1% your final score is above the average. (this only applies to those whose score is above the average score, bonus points don't go negative)
So if the USO scores were frozen now, you'd get 500 points for 1st place plus 206 bonus points because your score of 76.2% less the average score of 65.9% is 10.3%, making a total of 706, as shown in the column on red numbers on the far right of the main table.
If all the remaining results went your way (a big IF, obviously!), you'd probably end up with around 800 ranking points because so few people picked Potty to win, so you'd leave the average score even further behind. If they all go against you, you could end up with much less than 700.
ForeverDelayed will confirm that if you pick an Argentinian player to win a title and they do, you can really rack up the ranking points!
-- Edited by steven on Friday 11th of September 2009 02:14:39 PM
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Haha, who did ForeverDelayed pick? Gaudio to win the French or something?
Probably Nalbandian to win one of the indoor Masters
Obviously... it was when he won Madrid and Paris in 2007 having done nothing for the rest of the year, and in my attempt to win one of these events picked Nalby out of the blue to do well when no-one else had him doing anything.
I need Nalby to return to give me a chance of winning something again, as I only do well when he does.
Although if Gonzo can somehow beat Nadal today/tomorrow/whenever I'll leap a huge way up the rankings (although I don't quite remember why I picked him to beat him)
well didn't see that one coming, Fed was cruising, then 1 bit of gamesmanship by Del P on the cup falling - yes maybe it did but that was an ace all day long. and then a lucky hawk eye over rule and fed just seemed to lose it. went to bed at the end of the 2nd but was very surprised to see Del P win. did Fed keep serving as bad as he did in the 1st 2 sets? he was only get 44% of 1st serves in then.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.