Aus Open Qualifying list

Vandenburg · Futures level

RE: Aus Open Qualifying list

indiana · Tennis legend

Vandenburg wrote:

id quite happily give odds of 50/1 of all 4 qualifying, tho im tipping slabba, if he cuts out UEs.

I'm sure you would quite happily give such odds. But anyone would be mad to take you up on 50/1.

Try 1000/1 and I might show mild interest !

Vandenburg · Futures level

applying the law of mathematics and multplying along the odds
so if we give boggo 7/1
goodall 9/1
ward 15/1
slabba 18/1

if we then multply in a decmical way

=than you can see the odds are way into the hundres correct.

indiana · Tennis legend

Multiplying your individual odds gives 24319 / 1 !!

steven · Tennis legend

Even if every player in the draw had an equal chance of qualifying, the odds of getting 4/4 would be 1 in 4096, so with none of the Brits seeded, 1 in 10000 might be fair odds. LOL

gjr · Club Coach

Count Zero wrote:

Hopefully for Boggo and josh the 1st two matches will be long one so they get to play as late in the afternoon as possible.

according the BBC the max Temp on Tuesday is 37C!! Wednesday seems a bit cooler tho.

Was and still is very hot here today. Forecast i have is even hotter for tomorrow but maybe i mis heard the radio.

Long range forecast for Mon is mid 80's then mid 70's for Tue and Wed. However that can change pretty fast.

Although your theory may sound good in hopeing for long matches but I was out at about 6pm tonight and it was roasting.

-- Edited by gjr at 13:22, 2009-01-13

-- Edited by gjr at 13:22, 2009-01-13

Count Zero · Tennis legend

hmm, Boggo could be screwed then.

gjr · Club Coach

As a side thought I hope the British lads are in decent hotels with decent air conditioning and stuff. Because tonight is one of those nights you don't sleep due to the heat if you don't.

steven · Tennis legend

The forecast temps for the next 48 hours are:
Tue eve 27
Tue night 21 (!!)
Wed morn 30
Wed a/noon 39 (!!)
Wed eve 27
Wed night 16
Thu morn 20
Thu a/noon 24

Sounds like it's all about survival in QR1 then the conditions for QR2 might be better. 21 at night tonight though ... ugh. I wonder if the 'extreme heat policy' (over 35) also applies to qualifying, you'd have thought it would.

-- Edited by steven at 13:35, 2009-01-13

gjr · Club Coach

steven wrote:

The forecast temps for the next 48 hours are:
Tue eve 27
Tue night 21 (!!)
Wed morn 30
Wed a/noon 39 (!!)
Wed eve 27
Wed night 16
Thu morn 20
Thu a/noon 24

Sounds like it's all about survival in QR1 then the conditions for QR2 might be better. 21 at night tonight though ... ugh. I wonder if the 'extreme heat policy' (over 35) also applies to qualifying, you'd have thought it would.

-- Edited by steven at 13:35, 2009-01-13

I read on MTF earlier that it doesn't.

-- Edited by gjr at 13:39, 2009-01-13

Count Zero · Tennis legend

wouldn't the extreme heat policy apply at any atp sanctioned event. surely its about the players health and safety.

edit: aparently not, it is just a AO thing. but its at the ref's discretion

-- Edited by Count Zero at 13:46, 2009-01-13

steven · Tennis legend

gjr wrote:
I read on MTF earlier that it doesn't.

Typical, they only worry about players keeling over when the TV cameras are there ...

gjr · Club Coach

quote from MTF

Quote:
Originally Posted by Peta Pan View Post
The forecast for Monday is 35 so still bad

I'm very stressed about tomorrow actually. I can't sit in 40 degree weather to watch tennis. I fainted last year and ended up in a medical tent for an hour.

I don't even know if the heat rule applies during qualies. It SHOULD because those players matter as much as those in the main draw when it comes to their health... but I'm not so sure that it does.

It's a shame. Qualies are probably my favourite part of the tournament. I love the relaxed atmosphere there

Unfortunately the qualifying players aren't afforded the same privileges when it comes to their health. I remember a day last year when it was 40 degrees during qualifying but the matches were still continuing and new matches starting like normal.

I think I will show up but maybe cool down in the bathroom if it gets too hot. If it is unbearable I will leave. If you fainted last time then I'd say you should definitely leave if you start getting very uncomfortable, your health should always come first.

I heard that the cool change will be early afternoon, so we can always wait for that to happen and then go.

Count Zero · Tennis legend

i wonder how many toilet breaks players can take, if it hot maybe they could take a toilet break before each of their service games, go to the loo and cover yourself in cold water from the tap to cool down.
Also take ice packs and stuff onto court in your - if you take a lot hopefully they will keep each other cool and not melt so fast.

gjr · Club Coach

Count Zero wrote:

i wonder how many toilet breaks players can take, if it hot maybe they could take a toilet break before each of their service games, go to the loo and cover yourself in cold water from the tap to cool down.
Also take ice packs and stuff onto court in your - if you take a lot hopefully they will keep each other cool and not melt so fast.

Santoro had an ice pack last year. every change of ends it was on his head the entire time.