So if you ignore the W/O at Queens Andy leads the H2H 4-2...that appears exactly what the ATP suggest also...you ignore w/o as a defeat.
In 2006 Murray won 2/1 and the same in 2007 2/1 (W/L).
Murray is 3/2 on hard courts.
Since winning Beijing Roddick (very weak field 187, 48, 137 & 92 are the rankings of the players he beat en-route) he has had 1 SF, 2 QF and 1 R16 appearance so not in the best of form you would expect from a top 6 player.
With his serve working A-Rod would be tough. If Andy is still fresh enough and serves well then only one winner in my book.
With this being Murrays first taste of the MC that should give him a bit more edge I feel.
"I feel confident, but I'm not expecting to play my best tennis this week", and "I've played a lot of matches, I'm a little bit tired."
Hopefully, though, the week's break will have refreshed him a bit, and he was playing such tremendous tennis before he understandably did seem to tire a bit, possibly both mentally and physically, in that third week of three. Even then, other than his serve, he didn't exactly play badly against Nalbandian.
I am still going to take Andy to beat Roddick in straight sets.
Roddick didn't fly in until Friday so hoping he's still getting over his jetlag. He didn't make the group photo so arrived later than everyone else. However, he did join Andy in the ice bath so guess he's getting prepared. Fingers crossed he's still that little bit behind.