its getting towards the end of the season im just curious guys who is guranteed a qualifying spot at the aussie open
bogo goodall anyone else i know slabba and bloomers could drop points before them?? also can baker, ward,eaton and marray have a chance of getting in top 300 or so before then>>
As far as I can tell, the qualifying cuts for the last four years have been (2004 first) 434, 380, 295 & 311 (from an initial cut of about 280 when the entry list came out), but in the years when it droppped down really low, Aussies tend to have been the last few to get in, implying that they only get in with rankings that low because lots of players above them didn't make the trip.
So, I would say a ranking of 280 is safely in, 290 very likely, low 300s possible and the ranking points needed for those levels at the moment are 129, 123 & 120.
If you look at the GB top 25 table at http://www.britishtennis.net/gbtop25m/current.htm?n=1, there's a YTD section towards the right-hand side which shows how many ranking points each player has amassed since the start of 2008, so it's more or less their current ranking points less any points to defend between now and the end of the year. (N.B. where a player has scored points at more than 18 events this year, it will be a slight overestimate - that may affect Wardy, Slabba or Josh to the tune of a point or two, but doesn't do so yet)
Currently, the YTD totals for GB 2-9 are:
224 Boggo - safely in AO Q 170 Josh - safely in AO Q ------------------------------
102 Bloomers
93 Slabba
91 Wardy
77 Eaton
69 Baker
60 Marray
This isn't the same as the current ranking order, e.g. because Slabba's mass of points in December 2007 are keeping him above Bloomers at the moment.
You can just use the YTD column on the top 25 table to check how this develops - N.B. the YTD figure includes points from the tournament in progress, even if they are Futures points that won't go on for over a week.
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lets back up your facts with some good old fashioned speculation.
who's gonna make it?
i think maybe only bloomers. still quite a lot needed for the others (esp if you look at it as a %), slabba has a lot to come off as you say and thats quite a big ask for wardy.
boggo may not even 100% travel if he thinks his season will be better off elsewhere so it could be a rather barren AOQ week.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
Boggo and josh in Jersey. rich is 7 spots out in the alternates, and i guess there will be other brits in the lost too.
in the current lis alex is 8th so may scrap a seeding. top player is Gucci. old fave chokalini is also making an apperance. of course i dounbt there will be Live scores so it will be hard to tell.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
Bloomers doesn't tend to play much tennis in November and December so he'll be keen to get the points under his belt quickly. Needs a run to the final in London next week, plus a couple of wins in Jersey, where he'll surely be top pick for a wildcard if he doesn't make the cut.