I was just trying to work this out going by the ATP website. Both Fed and Djokovic have a huge number of points to come off before the French (Nole - 2050 and Fed - 1650) while Andy only has 370 to come off. There is no doubt in my mind that Andy will be number three by the Fench but also it is possible that he could be No 2.
Yes, he's more likely than not to overtake Nole before RG, and another week like last week (bad for Fed, good for Muzza) in one of the remaining clay masters might just see him edge ahead of Fed before RG - you can see quite how close it is from the graph above.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
could Murray be no2 seed at wimby? or maybe would be be no2 ranked but not seeded due to the seeding equation they use (which i assume Fed still basically owns). would be funny we finally get a top seed and he gets knocked backwards by the system designed to help tim.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
Maybe they should stop using the formula this year and use as their reasoning the fact that Rafa winning Wimby last year proves that there are no longer significant differences between the surfaces for the top players. Sounds reasonable to me
-- Edited by steven on Monday 20th of April 2009 01:38:15 PM
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Maybe they should stop using the formula this year and use as their reasoning the fact that Rafa winning Wimby last year proves that there are no longer significant differences between the surfaces for the top players. Sounds reasonable to me
-- Edited by steven on Monday 20th of April 2009 01:38:15 PM
Surely if Murray looks like being no2 then You,Drew and anyone else who wants to help could draft a statement and send it to the committee.Use phrases like homogenization of surfaces and tweak the numbers to show it's unnecesary and you'll make a huge impact
The is an article on the ATP website on the battle for number 2 in the atp rankings some of it has already been discussed on here, but a nice article nevertheless. link
-- Edited by Ben W on Monday 27th of April 2009 09:58:08 AM
-- Edited by Ben W on Monday 27th of April 2009 09:58:51 AM
Maybe they should stop using the formula this year and use as their reasoning the fact that Rafa winning Wimby last year proves that there are no longer significant differences between the surfaces for the top players. Sounds reasonable to me
-- Edited by steven on Monday 20th of April 2009 01:38:15 PM
Surely if Murray looks like being no2 then You,Drew and anyone else who wants to help could draft a statement and send it to the committee.Use phrases like homogenization of surfaces and tweak the numbers to show it's unnecesary and you'll make a huge impact
Sorry to quote myself,but look at the pseudo-scientific phrase used by the quoted author-
I believe Djokovic has entered the new ATP 250 tournament in Belgrade next which I think he stands a very good chance of winning. So I that means even if he looses to Nadal tomorrow, he can still stay ahead of Murray, just, by a tiny 20 points. Assumes he wins in Belgrade of course. This assumes I've done my sums right, which I probably haven't. What do the great ranking gurus think?
I suspect you haven't. . . Have you remembered to take into account that, even if Nole wins Belgrade, he can only gain 160 points? If he does, he has to drop his 18th score of 90.
You're quite right, I forgot to take off the 90 points. I'm always forgetting they can't count all their points. This is clearly why I should leave such things to others. :) Though Andy's new number 3 place will be short lived if he can't put in a much better showing in Madrid than he did in Rome. (unless I still have my sums wrong)