One thing that may come out of this is more fluidity between the ATP and Challenger levels, while raising the profile of the latter. If points available in Challenger tournaments are roughly doubled (or even just less than doubled), this will bring them much closer to ATP 250 level. This should provide a more interesting trade-off for players to consider, with many more top 100 players dropping down for the occasional Challenger, and a natural progression for up-and-coming Challenger players.
If you look at the current rankings, there are several people ranked between 100-120 who just sit there on the back of good challenger performances on their favoured surface, only ever playing at a higher level when they qualify for grand slams! There are others of a similar ranking who play ATP tournaments every week, and lose in the first round every week. I don't think it would be too bad for tennis if the restructuring helped to mix these players up a bit more.
Also, if the doubling of points allows us to have a point for qualifying for a futures tournament, I think that would be a lot fairer at the lower levels.
so are all the ATP's beign condensed into 4 types, GS, masters seris = 1000, Gold series = 500, inlt series = 250? so they are tkaing 9 different event levels ans turnign it into 4.
perhaps they will do somehting simlar with the challenegers, i can see a top challenger win rising to 150/175 points. so a bottome rung chakknger would jump up to around 75/85 points maybe? perhaps they will cut out some of the levls top condense it a bit as well.
Grr it lost my formating -- Edited by Count Zero at 11:46, 2008-10-17
-- Edited by Count Zero at 11:47, 2008-10-17
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
I've never liked the idea of giving points for qualifying in futures, ok you deserve it if you qualify for say one of those 128 draws in USA, but if you go to Africa you can have one match against a local player to qualify, do you really deserve a point for that? What needs to be changed is to give 2 points for reaching R2 of a 15k+H and to give points for winning matches in ATP qualifying, and not just for qualifying, that is only done at the big ATP events at the moment.
Willing to reserve judgement on the ranking system until all the details are released about it, but it doesn't look particularly convincing at the moment, and you do get the feeling that they haven't thought it through at all levels yet, especially at challenger and futures level.
And if they are just going to double the points, it does raise the question of why they are bothering to do so.
And a point for futures qualifying? Can't agree with that at all, as so many of the qualifying draws are just so weak that you would get a point for beating 1 local player at times (or the Pakistan event last year where 7 players got a bye through qualifying to the main draw) - what would happen if it were introduced is that players wouldn't bother to register for the tournaments, but would sign-up for qualifying instead to get the extra point knowing they wouldn't lose in qualifying.
A point or 2 for final round of ATP qualies though could be introduced.
Maybe they will condense the Challenger levels as well, as you suggest Count, that might neatly get around the problem and with very few Challengers above 100K at the moment, the discrepancy between 2008 and 2009 points for equivalent tournaments wouldn't be as much of an issue as for the ATP events.
I agree with wolf that points for winning rounds in ATP qualifying would be an improvement and that getting a point for qualifying for a Future where there are likely to be only one or two qualifying rounds against unranked players wouldn't be good, but it wouldn't be impossible to come up with a rule that would limit this to events with a qualifying draw above a certain size or where there is a full complement of qualifying seeds, something like that.
That would still give an advantage to players playing in tournaments that are weak relative to the lelvel of prize money available, but that problem exists throughout the ranking system and could only be got rid of by changing the ranking system to take into account the strength of opponents played or the strength of each tournament as a whole instead of just the prize money available, which I can't see happening any time soon.
If they are going to double Futures points, then I'd also be in favour of using the room for manoeuvre that would give to differentiate the points for getting through R1 at the different levels of Futures.
-- Edited by steven at 12:28, 2008-10-17
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
a very quick idea is why bother playing the big challengers now? the 50k's give good points with a differential of only 25 between the 2 winners. no differtinal for winning the opening round!
i assume the draws will even out to an extent to take account of this though, with perhaps the cuts raising on the 50's and dropping on the 125's
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
I had a hunch they'd screw those doing Challengers and Futures, but that's far worse than even I expected.
"Lowlights"
1) if you're defending 36 points (2 x 18) from a 15K Futures win, you'll end up with a net loss of 11 points even if you win the same tournament again
2) if you're defending 100 points (2 x 50) from a 50K Challenger win, you'll end up with a net loss of 25 points even if you win the same tournament again
I wonder if they have even thought about how this is going to disadvantage up and coming players next year as against those who played a full year in 2008. I know you can argue that it'll all sort itself out by the end of 2009 when all the 2008 points have come off, but in the meantime it's going to affect whether players make the entry cut, whether they get seeded, etc, and that's all going to affect the rankings long after 2009 is over. Obviously, the luck of the draw has an even bigger effect, but the difference is that luck of the draw is random bias, whereas this is systematic bias.
Btw I hope the Brits realise that every match they win in Challengers and Futures this year is going to be worth 1.5-2 match wins in the same level of event between 1 Jan 2009 and whenever each 2008 tournament comes off next year.
-- Edited by steven at 16:09, 2008-10-29
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
a very quick idea is why bother playing the big challengers now? the 50k's give good points with a differential of only 25 between the 2 winners. no differtinal for winning the opening round!
i assume the draws will even out to an extent to take account of this though, with perhaps the cuts raising on the 50's and dropping on the 125's
The "16"s denote the L16 round - the points are the numbers in brackets.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
I'd actually turn that table around a bit, doubling the 2008 points and looking at the drops between points being defended and points you can get next year for reaching the same round. Just doing that for three levels of events:
GRAND SLAM (Masters 1000s are exactly the same, but divided by two)
2008 x 2: W (2000) F (1400) SF (900) QF (500) R4 (300) 2009 x 1: W (2000) F (1200) SF (720) QF (360) R4 (200) Change: same, -14%, -20%, -28%, -33%
Masters 1000s are virtually the same, but divided by two; 500s similar divided by 2 again, slightly different in the early rounds.
$50,000 CHALLENGER
2008 x 2: W (100) F (70) SF (44) QF (24) R2 (10) 2009 x 1: W (075) F (45) SF (27) QF (15) R2 (5) Change: -25%, -36%, -39%, -38%, -50%
$15,000 FUTURES
2008 x 2: W (36) F (24) SF (12) QF (6) R2 (2) 2009 x 1: W (25) F (14) SF (07) QF (3) R2 (1) Change: -31%, -42%, -42%, -50%, -50%
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!