US Open R3 - Anne Keothavong v Elena Dementieva

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

RE: US Open R3 - Anne Keothavong v Elena Dementieva

Silver · County player

I think there is a 20% chance for Anne to win this. It's not much but as long as it's not 0%, let's cheer for her.

And no, I didn't use any mathematical formulae to work that percentage out, it's purely instinct. There's nothing to suggest Anne cannot win at all, but in my eyes, Elena is obviously the more complete player. Her first round match sounded like a shocker but whatever pulled her through is obviously going to trouble Anne immensely. I'd be happy if Anne made the scoreline respectable and kept her on her toes.

Rambling. I'll go now.

ForeverDelayed · Grand Slam Champion

Amanmuradova troubled Dementieva as she had a massive serve, serve/volleyed a bit, and showed some excellent touch at the net, barely missing a volley.

Anne isn't going to be able to trouble Dementieva by using the same tactics though, as she simply doesn't have that in her game.

20% chance of winning.... I'd take Dementieva at 1/5 to win the match, considering she's around 1/18 at most bookies!!!

Although Dementieva is prone to the odd wobble, I've not seen anything from Anne that suggests she can beat a top 5 player - I think those thinking she can win have gone carried away a little bit... (she was losing to Osterloh a week ago, ranked 170ish and well past her best) but she does have a very small chance of winning, and I would be delighted if she did win the match, but I just can't see it happening

Silver · County player

Gonzalez just won his match so Anne will be on Armstrong very shortly...

And I'll miss the first set or so cos I've just started making my dinner. DAMN THIS HUNGER.

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

I'm predicting Anne to play well for spells, striking quite a few superb winners but serving below 60% and finding her second serve getting destroyed (she'll do well to win more than 35% on 2nd). While she has some weapons, I doubt she'll be consistent enough to be competitive; a few too many decent shots flying just long or narrowly wide. Something like 6-4 6-2. Getting a set would be amazing.

PockyTastic · Futures level

Matt Cronin's take on the match up from US Open website (apologies if already posted):

"5-ELENA DEMENTIEVA V. ANNE KEOTHAVONG

How pleasant it is to have a British woman back in the mix. It's been quite some time since the birthplace of tennis has helped produce a player with top-30 stuff, and the hard-working Keothavong has the potential to move forward if she keeps improving her all-around game. She's a good mover with decent weapons from the backcourt who on a great day can be relentless.

But she's met her match here, as Dementieva defines the tireless, put-up-your-dukes-and-go-15-rounds type of competitor. She's playing free and easy after her Olympic gold-medal run, and she rarely gets tight after significant tournament runs. The only way that Britain's top player can pull an upset here if Dementieva loses her head, and it's way to early in the tournament for that. The Russian will win in straight sets."

ForeverDelayed · Grand Slam Champion

Typical WTA start to a match.... with 3 breaks in a row.

Dementieva leads *2-1

murrayman650 · ATP level

game has begun
Both have broken each other serves

1-1
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
2-1 demenitva

murrayman650 · ATP level

15-0
30-0
40-0
3-1

15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
3-2

murrayman650 · ATP level

15-0
30-0
40-0
4-2

15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
4-3

steven · Tennis legend

There's commentary on 5 Live Xtra.

Odds seem to be about 20-1 against at the moment.

murrayman650 · ATP level

15-0
40-15
5-3

0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
6-3

steven · Tennis legend

Odds have now gone out to 34-1.

ForeverDelayed · Grand Slam Champion

Just isn't going to happen to Anne, just as expected really.

She seems to be struggling to hold each time, while not really getting a look at breaking, and it just looks like the fact Dementieva is a much better player is going to tell at the moment

murrayman650 · ATP level

adv dermentiva
40-40
adv kevo
40-40
adv demenetiva
1-0