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Post Info TOPIC: French Open Juniors 2008.
Salmon


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French Open Juniors 2008.
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The cut off date is 5th May and that means two more weeks of tennis. Now how much good playing Roland Garros will do to some people is a different matter (let's not discuss it here wink.gif), but this is what the entry scenario looks like-




Girls:

The girls cut off is normally around the 55 mark, so let's say that you should be sure of a place if you're ranked around 50.


Confirmed direct entrants:

Johanna Konta
Jade Curtis

Those who have a good chance:

No one

Those who have an outside chance:

No one

Those who have a mathematical chance:

Laura Robson - With a ranking of 134, she needs to win both the titles at Beaulieu sur Mer and then hope for at least ten withdrawals.




Boys:

The boys cut has fluctuated a lot in the last three years, but let's assume that a ranking of 50 will be good enough.


Confirmed direct entrants:

Marcus Willis

Those who have a good chance:

Daniel Evans - Even with a ranking of 46, it's out of his hands given that he doesn't play any more. He can just pray that not too many people overtake him in the next few weeks and that there are loads of withdrawals.
Niall Angus - He is ranked 52, but given the way points are distributed, he'll need to reach the quarters or win the doubles title next week in BsM to confirm it, which won't be an easy task. Another way is to hope for a few withdrawals.
Daniel Cox - Ranked 59 now and needs to reach the semis next week in BsM or else reach the quarters with a final appearence in doubles.

Those who have an outside chance:

Mathew James - Even though he is ranked lower then many others (at 83) he has a better chance. He has opted for a different schedule with a Grade 2 in Spain next week and another in Italy the week after. If he wins the title in Spain (he'll be the second seed) and reaches the semis the week after, with a doubles semis in each week, he may just sneak in.
Daniel Smethurst - Ranked 73 and needs to reach the final in BsM or reach the semis and the doubles final.

Those who have a mathematical chance:

Michael Thompson - Ranked 75 and needs to win the title in BsM or needs to reach the finals in both singles and doubles.
Neil Pauffley - Ranked 76 and needs to win the title in BsM or needs to reach the finals in singles and win the doubles title.
Thomas Knights - With a ranking of 85, he needs the title in BsM or needs to reach the finals and win the doubles title.



N.B.

1) All calculations are approximations and hence could be wrong. 2) It is always possible that some of these players will turn up to qualify somewhere the week after next in order to boost their chances.

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steven


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Thank you, excellent summary!

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html
Salmon


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Glad to be of service!




As things stand, only Curtis, Konta and Willis are confirmed.

Coxy and Evo will get in unless they are extremely unlucky. Being extremely unlucky involves loads of people overtaking them in next week's G2 and Elias, Berankis and a few others suffering a sudden urge to waste their time by playing RG.

Niall Angus will need loads of withdrawals and Matt James will need two titles next week plus loads of withdrawals.

No one else has a chance.

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Shhh


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I presume that some of those who miss the cut will still enter qualies though?

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 Its really not as bad as they say :)
Salmon


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Well, it is possible, but not very likely. The normal LTA policy is to not play qualies at Slams and to be honest I agree with it since you get no points for qualifying.

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Simon


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Greenleaf wrote:

Well, it is possible, but not very likely. The normal LTA policy is to not play qualies at Slams and to be honest I agree with it since you get no points for qualifying.


Not true ... quoted from teh ITF Junor Web site:

Qualifiers losing in the first round of the main draw will receive 25 ranking points

Players losing in the final round of qualifying will receive 20 ranking points




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Salmon


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Yeah, I know that, but if you go on to win a round, you gain nothing, which is very unfair.

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Salmon


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Entry list should be out in a day or two.



Confirmed -

Konta - 22
Curtis - 37
Willis - 17



Should get in -

Cox - 48
Evans - 50



Needs to get lucky -

Angus - 57



Needs a small size miracle -

Smethurst - 68
Thompson - 74
Pauffley - 77
Knights - 86
James - 88





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Salmon


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The entry lists are up here - http://www.fft.fr/tournois_itf_juniors/?id=2245


I can't post them in detail because I need food and must go now!

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wolf


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Boys
MD - Willis (14th), Evans (43rd), Cox (45th)
Qualies - Angus (6th), Smethurst (16th), Thompson (21st), Pauffley (22nd)
Alts - Knights (5th), James (7th), Davis (25th)

Girls
MD - Konta (down as Aus, 18th), Curtis (30th)
Alts - Robson (29th)

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XCW4EVA


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Good Luck to all the guys and girls

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Salmon


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Jade is playing here??? That is very, very disappointing, I must say. Most of the top players of her age group are inside the top 100 and instead of trying to catch them up, she plays a Junior tournament. hmm.gif


Also disappointed with Cox and Evo being here. But that wasn't much of a surprise!

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Sheddie


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tbh, would have hoped a lot of these players, especially Jade and Evo would be playing Surbiton and getting ready for queens qualies

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Salmon


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Yes, exactly.

I think that of them, Curtis, Cox, Evans and Smethurst shouldn't play this. Curtis, Cox and Evans have nothing to prove in Juniors and even if they win the title, it'll mean nothing. Smethurst isn't a great clay player and it's no use playing here.

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Sheddie


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that's right....all 4 of them have achieved decent results on grass, Willis aswell and Jade should have been odds on to qualify for Surbiton (if she hadn't received a wildcard)....with some grass wins behind her she would have had a better chance of a few upsets in the wta qualies

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