Thanks Derek: I think you win the award for best ever first post on the board! (and that's not because you've said nice things about me on your profile.
Real shame to hear how Josh is taking his loss of form.
helki wrote: I know I'm going to get slaughtered for this but 'the rest weren't expected to win' just about sums it up for me. They've got to start winning sometime and against higher-ranked players or they might just as well pack in. If we carry on making excuses we'll never get any better and be left with one player in the top 100 and two in the top 200 ad infinitum.
Hopefully this isn't taken as slaughtering you, that is not my intention. However, I would like to reply... I agree our players have to start winning sometime and against higher-ranked players. However, I don't feel that stating the others weren't expected to win is an excuse. They weren't, at least not for me. I hoped that some of them would, I'm disappointed that they didn't but I can't have expected them to beat opposition ranked higher than themselves. Yes, they need to in order to move up the rankings, and that is why I'm so happy that Skupski managed to win.
But we simply can't expect all the Brits to beat anyone they come across who is lower ranked than them. But expect all non Brits to be beaten by Brits ranked lower than them. It simply doesn't make sense(not to me at any rate).
Feel free to disagree with me, and counter my arguments if you want, I'm not averse a good-natured discussion.
Moving to a different topic entirely, Thank you very much for the comments DJ, it's always appreciated to hear a first hand account of the stories behind the scoreline as you put it. Welcome to posting (I see you've been reading for a while) on the forum, I hope to be reading your opinions more often (and I would agree with Rob about you're winning the award...but you didn't say nice things about me so I don't think I shall )
-- Edited by imoen at 23:37, 2007-11-14
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To look at a thing is quite different from seeing a thing and one does not see anything until one sees its beauty
I don't agree with Cox struggling against big hitters as he has beaten plenty of them. Today was just an off day against a talented young player.
That's the end of men's tennis for him this year. I think that he has come a long way given how little he has played and next year should be even better.
Thanks, Imoen, Goldfish, Rob, Arka and Steven, for your kind words and welcome.
If I may, I'll pick up your points one by one: Goldfish - I'm afraid I'm not a circuit regular, so don't actually recognise any coaches. There were lots of folk hanging over the gallery, many of them in tracksuits with impressive logos, but being shy, I didn't like to examine them - the badges, that is!! The only obvious coach - or mentor, perhaps - was with Ken Skupski; very positive-seeming conversations, before, between and after his matches. I very much agree with the implication of your comment - having someone to drop in a word, or look, of advice at the appropriate moment would certainly have won Ian Flanagan's match for him, and very possibly Josh Goodall's too. I still can't get over how talented Flanagan looked during his 'up' spells - like watching a top, top player. Rob - I'm humbled, though perhaps not humble! I do enjoy your and Steven's tables, especially the daily updates on the top players. Imoen - grovelling apologies for not having put you on your deserved pedastal. Please can I now have my brownie points back, or should I grovel some more? Seriously, though, there are 5 or 6 correspondents whose comments are a particular pleasure to read, including those of your fair self, but I felt it would be invidious to mention them, as everyone else might have been offended, and, as I've spent my professional career trying to boost the confidence of ALL my pupils, I was trying to avoid failing that principle here. (What a long sentence, sorry) But, as the host on 'Strictly Come dancing' says, 'You're my favourite!' Arka - I bow to your much greater knowledge of the youngsters coming through; I was simply reporting on what I saw yesterday. Young Dan might well have beaten some power players this season, and might well have done so yesterday, if he'd been on form; I can't comment on that aspect, as I'd never previously seen him play. All I can comment on is what I saw, which was a clear disparity in yesterday's power output, a disparity which made the match very one-sided. I'm not, though, suggesting that it's par for Dan's particular course, nor that it necessarily means he doesn't have real prospects of a future in the senior game. I was actually more worried at seeing him, apparently, hanging on Josh Goodall's every word, half an hour after Goodall's, to me, shameful display. Again, though, I saw only snap-shots, so may well be mis-reading the situation - I certainly hope so. On a different theme, can I note the pleasure your 'signature' gives me each time I read it; I hope it's not copyright, as I circulated it round all my email pals who have a mathematical bent, and even some who don't! Brilliant! Steven - I so much agree; repeating the implicit views Goldfish and I shared earlier, I do feel that having the right people around our players just might make the difference. Again, though, I simply don't have the background knowledge - perhaps the finance doesn't exist to hire such back-up, perhaps the people are there, doing their best, but the players aren't listening, perhaps ... Who knows; I certainly don't.
After a great first round, we are brought back down to earth with another disappointing day of defeats, with just Skupski getting the win, but he needs to go on and reach a semi final now to confirm his good start to the week.
Yes, 4 of the 5 players who lost were outranked and so weren't expected to win, but if you never beat anyone ranked higher than you, you are never going to really move up the rankings. You have to be getting close to or beating those ranked up to 150-200 places above you in the rankings if you are going to move up the rankings at this level, and all our players seem to be able to do it 1 day, but then slump to a straight sets loss the following day, which gets you nowhere, as the 1 point doesn't improve your ranking a lot.
DJ wrote:Arka - I bow to your much greater knowledge of the youngsters coming through; I was simply reporting on what I saw yesterday. Young Dan might well have beaten some power players this season, and might well have done so yesterday, if he'd been on form; I can't comment on that aspect, as I'd never previously seen him play. All I can comment on is what I saw, which was a clear disparity in yesterday's power output, a disparity which made the match very one-sided. I'm not, though, suggesting that it's par for Dan's particular course, nor that it necessarily means he doesn't have real prospects of a future in the senior game. I was actually more worried at seeing him, apparently, hanging on Josh Goodall's every word, half an hour after Goodall's, to me, shameful display. Again, though, I saw only snap-shots, so may well be mis-reading the situation - I certainly hope so.
Oh, okay.
Thanks for liking the signature. It's not my creation, though. I just picked it randomly on some site and loved it.
And the number of sports you play/played is quite impressive!
How much does anyone think age/maturity is linked to success in tennis? Surely players continue to grow and learn and become better with experience (in life as well as tennis)
The reason for including in this thread is that in the majority of the Futures events this year our players will have been some of the youngest in the tournament.
At Sunderland this week we had 11 GB players with an average age of 21.6yrs compared to 21 overseas players with an average age of 24.2yrs. I, for one, am not altogether surprised that greater maturity has helped in these fields (indeed Ken at 24 is the last Brit standing).
Also, whilst it's not a great advert for players to have tantrums on court and doesn't usually help a player's cause, it can usually be attributed to a players maturity (and even Josh is only 22). There are plenty of examples within this forum of overseas players acting like brats and imploding on court so I don't think this is just a GB problem.
My initial thoughts are that male players reach their peak at around 26 or 27 and that this would be the average age of a player in the Top 300 (my gut feel only)
The reason for raising this is because the average age of the active GB players is considerably lower than this and of our Top 20 active players we only have only one in this age bracket (Jonny Marray) and the average age of Britain's active Top 20 is just 22.
Our players just outside the Top 500 and ages: Kasiri - 21 Seator - 21 Ward - 20 Slabinsky - 21 Rushby - 21 Blake - 20 Eaton - 19
I think maybe expectations are a little too high too early and these players, ability wise, should be able to rise up the rankings as they continue to develop.
However, how many of these players will still be competing professionally by the age of 26/27? and why do we not have any players currently at that age (Jonny M apart)? Does anyone know what has happened to our players born between 1980 and 1981 and why they are not competing?
My guess is that money is the biggest contributing factor here and that in Britain by the age of about 23 if a player hasn't cracked the Top 300 they have the backstop of finding an alternative career that pays much better (indeed coaching tennis at a local health club is probably far more lucrative and a lot less demanding). Maybe the LTA encourages this by putting so much money into coaching?
If this is the case then we will never have a clutch of players in the Top 300 (journeymen or otherwise)
I have no idea how our top players compare age wise to our European neighbours but even in this tournament we welcomed six Italians all aged between 24 and 28.
Statisticians (Rob) if you're bored it would be interesting to compare the average age of the Top20 players for the DC World Group nations. Also, if its something you derive from your ranking calculator, the average age of players in the Top100, Top 200, Top 300 etc. If this isn't easy to do I'll do some analysis if anyone else is interested.
Anyway, my hypothesis for why we do not have many players in the Top300/Top 500 is that our players do have talent at an early age but that they do not fulfil their potential and are lost to the game before they reach their peak. My guess is that this is usually a lifestyle choice but a choice that is easier to make in GB than in other countries.
Apologies for long post, and if it seems I'm stating the obvious, but just some food for thought
interesting idea Grundon - unfortubately, I don't have that data in an easy to use format. (maybe one day the ATP will allow it's database to be queried through an API, rather than just the web pages....)
DJ - you're right, they can't fund everything, but I think they could do with taking some of the money out of normal coaching and putting it into courses in how to minimise the risk of injury and how to stop mentally self-destructing.
Grundon - I might have a partial answer - when I was analysing why we had gone down from 20 players in the top 500 two years ago to just 8 now (7 from next week, not all active either), I found that of the 2005 20:
8 retired under 30 - Banks, Hanlin, Hilton, Sherwood, Lee, Big Arv, Mackin, Childs (not sure of the exact ages but we could find out) 2 retired from singles - Del (over 30), Aucks (under 30) 1 went back to uni - Fleming (well under 30)
-- Edited by steven at 15:33, 2007-11-15
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
These are my ratings rather than the ATP ones, but it shows GB has the youngest Top 20 players. And also shows the higher the rating, the higher the average age. Ave. Rating of Top 20 vs Ave. Age of Top 20
Ave Rate Ave Age Rank ESP 684.89 25.73 15 FRA 674.80 26.45 16 ARG 663.24 26.47 17 USA 640.99 25.29 13 GER 627.18 25.62 14 RUS 582.32 23.27 2 CZE 581.60 27.02 20 ITA 581.10 26.49 18 CRO 502.22 23.76 7 AUS 496.05 23.75 6 AUT 495.09 24.79 12 BRA 481.34 24.78 11 ROU 466.87 24.44 9 SUI 462.80 24.29 8 NED 448.47 23.56 4 SRB 439.94 23.41 3 SVK 427.64 23.68 5 GBR 420.89 22.58 1 SWE 417.46 24.78 10 JPN 377.92 26.68 19