If Andy plays like he did on Tuesday, and Nadal plays like he did today, then Andy will win the match
The big word though is 'if' and which Murray turns up to play... but this is a great chance for him, and with all the contenders for 8th spot in the Masters Cup losing today (and Robredo still going, but Del Potro playing some quality tennis and giving him a good match), the chance of going to Shanghai still exists (although Gonzo and Robredo can effectively make themselves massive favourites if they reach the QF's here)
Go to www.channelsurfing.net, and they are live streaming this tournament.
I tried to go on the actual link for Madrid Masters under the 1pm EST, but its showing the snooker!
According to the CCTV5 website http://www.cctv.com/tvguide/tvguide/11/01/20071018/5.shtml their tennis coverage appears to start at 2:25AM chinese time, which according to google is 19:25 our time. Tho given the only characters I recognised on the page were "ATP" I'm not 100% confident...