Madeline wrote:

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I know he is not an immediate threat, but Hewitt, lurking about 5 places below Andy, is out of Marseille.  He lost the first set to Simon 1-6 then retired at 2-3 in the second set.

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wow - looks like there's something pretty nasty going around in Marseille..... on court now: Gasquet gets broken in his first game against Marc Gicquel...2-0*

Gicquel saved a BP at 3-2 up...now he leads 5-3...another break please !!

And he does not

5-5 Gasguet to serve !!!

Drat.  Let us hope that he too soon succombs to Marseilleseeditis.

7-6 6-2 Gasquet.  Ah well,  at least that's one less for Tim to worry about.

hmm - I think he can still overtake if Gasquet goes out in the QF, and Andy "only" gets as far as the final.  I put him on 1590 now, and Andy would have 1650 - 175 + 120 =1595...Bethan,  looks like my numbers and yours aren't matching. - time for another "what if"?

-- Edited by RobC at 20:13, 2007-02-15

RobC wrote:

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hmm - I think he can still overtake if Gasquet goes out in the QF, and Andy "only" gets as far as the final.  I put him on 1590 now, and Andy would have 1650 - 175 + 120 =1595...Bethan,  looks like my numbers and yours aren't matching. - time for another "what if"?

-- Edited by RobC at 20:13, 2007-02-15

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Yeah, my numbers agree with you....I'm pretty sure I forgot to take off Gasquet's 18th when working out how much of a threat he is

Here is the updated what if?:

If Andy wins in San Jose: he will end with 1650 points, same as he started with. He would re-overtake Gasquet(out before final), Ferrer(out already), Djokovic(out already). And could be overtaken by no one.
Best case: 13
Worst case:14

If Andy loses the final in San Jose: he will end with 1595 points. He would overtake Gasquet (out by semis ). He could be overtaken by no one.
Best case: 15
Worst csae: 16

If Andy loses the semi in San Jose: he will end with 1530 points. He would overtake no one. He could be overtaken by no one.
Best case: 16
Worst case: 16

If Andy loses the quarter in San Jose: he will end with 1515 points. He would overtake no one. He could be overtaken by Baghdatis (win Marseille).
Best case: 16
Worst case: 17

There, sorry about any confusion caused. Unfortunately the only real change (apart from correcting my mistake) occurs if Andy wins the tournament, where his new worst case is a ranking of 14. So basically Andy, my friend. You have to win. simple as that!