Boggo drops back two places because of his 5 points from Orlando last year.
Only Philippoussis (3rd seed) and Querrey (4th seed) are in action, in Maui, this week.
Querrey must reach the semi- final to overtake. There's only Warburg & Fruttero in his quarter that I've heard of. He plays Przysiezny in the first round. Philippou plays Motomoro today.
Querrey's first round match against Przysiezny is tonight. Please employ those extra long sneaky "I'm over- confident and it's the end of the year, and I should be on the beach" pins into the Querrey doll!
Just looking at Week 1 point defences of those around Boggo and I reckon that Alves, Vik, Saretta and Moodie will all be below Boggo at the start of Week 1 (Saretta is defending 80 points so I think that ones in the bag!)
That provisionally puts Boggo at 119 ranking for the qualies seedings which would certainly be good enough for Top 16. Oh well all conjecture at this point but it's a quiet week.
Hopefully Al might win a round or two in Chennai which would consolidate his place as one of the top seeds. I fell pretty sure that after the AO Al will try to defend his title in Wrexham. after that, there is a series of high value challengers for him to get his teeth stuck into. Bergamo, where he won last year is now a $100K+H event, Belgrade $125k+H, Besancon $100+H then Cherbourg is just 50K +H. Some consistency in those tournaments should see him enter March at his current ranking of 120. If he achieves that, I think he should be satisfied. He than has only 53 points to defend until July, when he had a good run in Newport. So, I think a realistic objective for Al is direct entry into Wimbleodon this year....Lets hop that he can stay fit.
Good point Seagull: Also don't forget the week 52 defences (There was a challenger in Doha in late December last year) Gabashvilli, Marach and Patience are all defending from then. there doesn't seem to be an equivalent this year, so those points added to any week 1 losses could help even more.
That said, there'll be plenty of players able to overtake by qualifying for one of the ATP week 1 events, and the week 1 challengers are bound to provide an opportunity for a few of the players in the 130s to overtake...... just like a normal week of Tennis, I guess
stevemcqueen wrote: Hopefully Al might win a round or two in Chennai which would consolidate his place as one of the top seeds. I fell pretty sure that after the AO Al will try to defend his title in Wrexham. after that, there is a series of high value challengers for him to get his teeth stuck into. Bergamo, where he won last year is now a $100K+H event, Belgrade $125k+H, Besancon $100+H then Cherbourg is just 50K +H. Some consistency in those tournaments should see him enter March at his current ranking of 120. If he achieves that, I think he should be satisfied. He than has only 53 points to defend until July, when he had a good run in Newport. So, I think a realistic objective for Al is direct entry into Wimbleodon this year....Lets hop that he can stay fit.
Agree totally, good target for him top 100 by or if not (after) wimbledon.
This is Alex's probable calendar for the first two months of 2007:
week 1: ATP Chennai qualies + hopefully main draw week 2:Aussie Open qualies week 3: Week off or AO main draw week 4: Wrexham challenger week 5: Week off - definately isn't playing ATP Zagreb week 6: Either Bergamo or Wroclaw. Alex won Bergamo last year and it's now a 100K+H but I wonder if he'll be tempted by the 125K+H in Wroclaw - he played there in 2005 and made the quarters
week 7: ATP Marseille qualies - definately isn't playing the Belgrade challenger
Odd schedule there. I would have thought that Alex would enter Zagreb as a safety measure, just in case he lost early in Wrexham.
Also, I expected that he would return to Belgrade, the city of his birth, instead of playing Marseille, which had the highest cut off of all Tours last year.
I like the Marseille decision. He aims of becoming a top player, so he needs to have faith in himself.
But he should enter Zagreb. He can always withdraw from the qualies. He could even sneak into the main draw - the cut was 105 last time. Come on Alex... enter yourself for Zagreb.
By the way, Boggo can play both Auckland qualies and AO qualies. Right?
Qualies sign in is on Thursday. In case Boggo does make it to Thursday in Auckland, AO would be a worthy sacrfice. And in case he doesn't, he can play both.
i am not sure if thats right, i think they alnmos count GS qualies as a separste vent, as they have large points and pirze money avalaible. i remember people have ing a similar problem at nottingham/wimby - you cant play notts and do wimby qualies, therby you may not be able to do notts qualies either.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.
would it be worth the risk? how much tought would qualifyign for the ao be than for aucks? and the rewards are much greater at the AO, i'll guess we will have to wait and see.
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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.