Coronavirus - general, non tennis related

Elegant Point · Satellite level

Coronavirus - general, non tennis related

paulisi · Tennis legend

The problem in India is that the numbers are significantly understated as most either don't have access to a test or have to travel too far for a test.

indiana · Tennis legend

indiana wrote:
indiana wrote:
indiana wrote:
indiana wrote:
[...]
With more relaxations, the UK new covid cases have again been dropping slower over the last 2 weeks but at least have still been dropping. Last 2 weeks' new cases and death figures:
10/04 - 16/04 : 17816, 185
17/04 - 23/04 : 17377 (25.5 per 100K), 160
24/04 - 30/04 : 15514 (22.8 per 100K), 132
01/05 - 07/05 : 14420 (21.1 per 100K), 81
08/05 - 14/05 : 15781 (23.1 per 100K ), 70
- so slight rise back up in the week's new cases

New UK cases in the last week up again. Deaths significant step down again.

15/05 - 21/05 : 16743 (24.5 per 100K), 42

Elegant Point · Satellite level

I went into work today and decided to move desks as the person sitting near me announced they had.........a cold! I have been going into the office all through lockdown and this is the first time in over a year I have come across someone with a common cold (rhinovirus). Speaking to others, it sounds as if colds are becoming more common as lockdown eases.

Data from PHE shows the number of tests coming back positive for the common cold have been increasing since January.

Elegant Point · Satellite level

Prevalence of the Indian variant in the UK- hopefully it wont impact the easing of lockdown.

There have been more than 5,000 cases of the B.1.617.2 variant in England, 383 in Scotland, 62 in Wales and 15 in Northern Ireland.
In some areas of England - including in Bolton, Blackburn, and Sefton in North-West England and Bedford, Chelmsford and Canterbury in the South-East - it is causing the majority of infections.
In London it makes up the lion's share of cases in Croydon, Hounslow and Hillingdon.
A surge in Glasgow may also be driven by the variant.

In the worst-hit areas, in the two weeks to 15 May:
488 cases identified in Bolton, compared with 50 cases of the Kent variant
132 cases in Blackburn (vs 12)
100 in Bedford (vs 20)
72 in Sefton (vs 15)

Map
www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57157496

Can the common cold offer cross protection against Corona?

Maybe I shouldnt be too worried about catching a cold - apart from feeling the necessity to explain to everyone that you dont have Corona....
A few studies have shown that, because of other coronavirus infections, about one-quarter of people have antibodies that can bind to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, says Scott Hensley, a viral immunologist at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia. One study8 showed that these antibodies can actually neutralize SARS-CoV-2 infections, stopping the virus from invading cells.

www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03519-3

paulisi · Tennis legend

The first real increase was announced last night, which is a worry if restrictions are being eased.
Sefton(Formby) have resolved their issue, but the large conurbations in the NW traditionally associated with Asian settlement are a concern.
The increased numbers may be due to mass targeted testing, but people are getting complacent.

Rumours are that Bolton may have plateaued in positive cases.

indiana · Tennis legend

indiana wrote:
[ - ]
08/05 - 14/05 : 15781 (23.1 per 100K ), 70 deaths
- so slight rise back up in the week's new cases
New UK cases in the last week up again. Deaths significant step down again.
15/05 - 21/05 : 16743 (24.5 per 100K), 42 deaths

Certainly UK new cases are continuing on the rise, just now moreso with 4182 new cases reported just on Friday, the highest single day report since the end of March. Deaths also rose for the first time since January, though in context they were over 8000 per week then.

22/05 - 28/05 : 20765 ( 30.4 per 100K ), 58 deaths.

Will no doubt be some tricky decisions as how to react without overrreacting. Maybe ask Dominic Cummings!

indiana · Tennis legend

Scottish new case numbers have been seriously on the rise in the last 4 weeks.

01/05 - 07/05 : 1195 ( 21.9 per 100K )
08/05 - 14/05 : 1660 ( 30.4 )
15/05 - 21/05 : 2374 ( 43.5 )
22/05 - 28/05 : 3030 ( 55.6 )

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

But infection cases seem to me not very relevant if hospital admissions are still flat or going down (as per NHS graph)

static.standard.co.uk/2021/05/28/16/f749e0a7b31d67570a3fdb2e61ea6300Y29udGVudHNlYXJjaGFwaSwxNjIyMjk0ODA1-2.60055275.jpg%3A1021%2Csmart

www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/england-bolton-nhs-england-public-health-england-indian-b937835.html

i.e. does it really matter if more people are catching it very mildly but no one is badly affected? Isn't that just like speeding up the vaccine roll-out?

indiana · Tennis legend

Yes, very valid points CD, which is kind of what I meant about not overreacting and putting the new cases rise in context. Hospital cases and deaths are ultimately what it's about.

If it is felt that these are under control and the vaccine roll out continues to go well there us a good argument for keeling to the roadmap final stages as planned. Buf it is clearly under discussion abd I suspect that there will be at least a slight delay to the next stage.

In Scotland, just fencing in the Glaswegians may help ths rest of us

-- Edited by indiana on Wednesday 2nd of June 2021 01:35:54 PM

Elegant Point · Satellite level

Yesterday there were zero deaths in the UK from Corona, however two scientists advising the government have warned against lifting all remaining coronavirus restrictions in England on June 21, as fears grow over the continued spread of the B.1.617.2 variant first identified in India.

Professor Ravi Gupta, a member of the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (Nervtag), said there had been an exponential growth in the number of new cases sparked by the new variant and urged the government to delay the June unlocking by a few weeks.

Speaking in a personal capacity, he told BBC Radio 4s Today programme: All waves start with low numbers of cases that grumble in the background and then become explosive, so...what we are seeing here is the signs of an early wave.
www.newscientist.com/article/2237475-covid-19-news-no-plan-to-delay-end-of-england-lockdown-says-uk-pm/

Corona virus daily summary

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

indiana · Tennis legend

indiana wrote:
indiana wrote:
[ - ]
08/05 - 14/05 : 15781 (23.1 per 100K ), 70 deaths
- so slight rise back up in the week's new cases
New UK cases in the last week up again. Deaths significant step down again.
15/05 - 21/05 : 16743 (24.5 per 100K), 42 deaths
Certainly UK new cases are continuing on the rise, just now moreso with 4182 new cases reported just on Friday, the highest single day report since the end of March. Deaths also rose for the first time since January, though in context they were over 8000 per week then.
22/05 - 28/05 : 20765 ( 30.4 per 100K ), 58 deaths.
Will no doubt be some tricky decisions as how to react without overrreacting. Maybe ask Dominic Cummings!

29/05 - 04/06 : 29028 ( 42.6 per 100K ), 55 deaths

New cases continue to rise though hospital admissions and deaths appear to be still under control. And rightly or wrongly questions remain re keeping to the 'at best' timing of the next roadmap out of lockdown stages.

Elegant Point · Satellite level

indiana wrote:

29/05 - 04/06 : 29028 ( 42.6 per 100K ), 55 deaths
New cases continue to rise though hospital admissions and deaths appear to be still under control. And rightly or wrongly questions remain re keeping to the 'at best' timing of the next roadmap out of lockdown stages.

From my observations people have given up on the hands, face, space messages which is partly why I think numbers are rising. There is a common perception that the vaccine marks the end of Covid hmm The virus is still prevalent and will continue to mutate as it spreads. No one is safe until everyone is safe......

Nobody wants another lockdown. If people continue to follow simple rules such as mask wearing in close proximity public spaces, sanitise their hands whilst shopping etc then the virus is less likely to spread and the country could continue to follow the roadmap out.

#followthescience

Elegant Point · Satellite level

Portugal moves from Amber to Green listing a few days before two English clubs play there for the European championship. Gove attends the match and gets daily per tests so he doesnt have to quarantine - not sure whos paying for the tests?

A few days after the match, Portugal is returned to the Amber list. Reason given is "the Nepal variant".
However, this is not a variant of interest and, in fact, is not yet actually recognised by the WHO. Moreover, at the time of the change in listing, Portugal had 6 cases of this virus while the UK had 36.

Call me a sceptic.......

indiana · Tennis legend

I am all for a fair amount of caution, as I have indicated before, and really people should know the risk they run holidaying abroad at this time, but there appears to be no data alarming enough that made it quite so urgent to take Portugal back off the green list with a few days notice and quite so royally **** off holidaymakers and the Portuguese. Gee, they could easily have made it a week Tuesday rather than Tuesday.