Week 30 - WTA Premier 5 ($2.7M) - Montreal, Canada - Hard

steven · Tennis legend

RE: Week 30 - WTA Premier 5 ($2.7M) - Montreal, Canada - Hard

Jan · Hall of fame

Ah what a shame - but she's still having an amazing time!

tony_orient · ATP qualifying

Surprising defeat but a reminder that anything can happen and Jo's consistency has been much better than most. A pity as it felt like there was a real chance Jo could go on to win the whole thing.

indiana · Tennis legend

I was looking at how the players immediately above Jo did last year in the Canadian Premier 5, the points due to come off on 15/08 and Jo having nothing to come off then.

Generally not good so as far as I can see no jump up while off at the Olympics. After that she has 140 Vancouver ITF 100K title points coming off when others are defending Cincinnatti Premier 5 points and then 280 points to defend from the US Open.

Her chances of making the top 10 may be best post the US Open, but another very big week or two with big points to play for and it is game on earlier.

The fact that she was nowhere remotely near getting into these Premier 5s last year and playing an ITF and came through qualifying for the US Open is a little indication of her huge leap forward in the last year.

In the race she will be 9th after this week so that in theory has her currently on target for a top 10 world ranking by season end. And clearly the race finals themselves ( for the top 8 ) remain a very realistic goal.

-- Edited by indiana on Saturday 30th of July 2016 01:53:50 PM

AliBlahBlah · All-time great

Inspired by Indy's post, and as poor substitute for Steven and ISF, I looked at the top 25, and tried to forecast the positions a bit.

Taking current points, I extrapolated two indicative scenarios.

If no player wins any more matches - i.e. the points each has to defend drop, and is replaced by their applicable counters only - no new scores are accrued
This is indicative of the burden on each player to defend their points.
If players continue to score points at approximately their current rate in 2016 YTD
To give a best guess look at what might happen if thins go along as they have been doing.

I look calculated the positions at two crucial points in time

Post US Open
At year end - after the Year end championships, and the Zhuhai tournament

I haven't allowed for anyone outside the top 25 breaking in.
I have given Azarenka zero points for the remainder of the year.

Here are the results

indiana · Tennis legend

Thanks AliBB for all that. Interesting to see.

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

Yes, those are great tables, AliB - and graphics. Tx.