In general over these 10 players, undoubtably it is not as healthy as we predicted. But I do agree with Steven that I wouldn't say that it is in general any less healthy than we now think.

I guess Jo might have not have come out too badly if she'd been in our options. And of the top 10 excluding Jo, Emily and Anna have been replaced by Lisa and Amanda who I would say would individually again have looked better re predictions.  So we are a bit better off than if these still had been the top 10 with such falls. 

I think the 5 players who have done worse against all our predictions would say themselves that they have underperformed and I would have thought only someone being pretty speculative in a negative way would have predicted lower. So while, yes, we have been in general pretty overoptimistic. I wouldn't say unreasonably so.

And there is always in these contests generally, yes, a slight element of overoptimism and certainly much more likelihood to take a punt positively rather than negatively.

Interesting that Heather and Laura have again outperformed general predictions, I believe not for the first time. I think with such players, maybe rather against the trend, there is maybe a subconscious feeling of not wanting to predict too much for them, let them take their time and not push them too far, as if they were seeing our predictions 

And again, as Steven suggests, while a number have not done nearly as well as we predicted, and indeed the overall depth is much less than in times past, this will be balanced in many minds ( maybe more than balanced with some ) by just how well Heather and Laura are progressing at the top end.