Week 41 - WTA ($220K) - Osaka, Japan - Hard

insomniacfolder · Challenger level

Week 41 - WTA ($220K) - Osaka, Japan - Hard

philwrig · Hall of fame

Of course assuming another top 50 player doesn't get a late WC like Schiavone.
Yes a weak field apart from Stosur, so potentially alot of ranking points if they play well, of course not a guarantee.

indiana · Tennis legend

Yes, takes all sorts I guess and no doubt some money, but who's to criticise someone living the dream.

Anyway, I do see that Robyn gets routinely thrashed by ranked and unranked players alike.

Her 10 points this year, contributing to her WR 967 ( she was at a CH of 925 ) are :

1 in 10K for beating UNR

6 in 220K Q for beating WR 1136 (a WR achieved by beating 2 unranked oppnents in 10Ks )

1 in 10K for beating WR 958 ( a WR achieved by a mixture of beating unranked opponents in 10Ks and losing R1s of 25s and 220K Qs, its the way to do it smile )

1 in 10K for beating UNR

1 in 220K Q for being there before losing to WR 165

Her only other ever top 1000 win ( i.e. one of only two ) was beating a 19 yo Brazilian in November 2010, WR 726. Her WTA activity shows her playing and losing one more match later in 2010 and then nothing more again.

That CH of 925 was achieved in June this year, just before 4 points from last year for reaching a QF by way of beating an UNR and getting a bye came out of her score.

It is possible that some might think she is overranked...

But anyway she is one win away ( by whatever means ) from rising to about WR 860.

-- Edited by indiana on Friday 5th of October 2012 04:22:47 PM

Peter too · Tennis legend

Q1: BEDDOW, Robyn (GBR) 967 v LYKINA, Ksenia (RUS) 310

tony_orient · ATP qualifying

I'm sure Laura always seems to play in the toughest tournaments relative to their status, so if this turns out to be a relatively soft tournament it will make a nice change. Laura probably needs to make the semi final here in order to reach the top 50.

If Laura is seeded and Heather not, then there is a 1 in 24 chance of them meeting in R1. I feel they are about due another match, but hopefully if they do meet it will be in the latter stages of the tournament.

adz1983 · Intermediate Club Player

Peter too wrote:
Q1: BEDDOW, Robyn (GBR) 967 v LYKINA, Ksenia (RUS) 310

How on earth did Beddow get a wildcard here?

NotAClue · Lower Club Player

adz1983 wrote:
Peter too wrote:
Q1: BEDDOW, Robyn (GBR) 967 v LYKINA, Ksenia (RUS) 310
How on earth did Beddow get a wildcard here?

She's got a neat habit of being in the right place at the right time for under subscribed qualifying draws.

This will be her third QWC this year at a $220K, after Bogota and Québec City.

Miriambee · Futures level

Drawsheet says last DA 566 + 3 additional WCs, so I guess it's to make up space.

6 Japanese 1 British and 1 Croatian WC.

adz1983 · Intermediate Club Player

NotAClue wrote:
adz1983 wrote:
Peter too wrote:
Q1: BEDDOW, Robyn (GBR) 967 v LYKINA, Ksenia (RUS) 310
How on earth did Beddow get a wildcard here?
She's got a neat habit of being in the right place at the right time for under subscribed qualifying draws.
This will be her third QWC this year at a $220K, after Bogota and Québec City.

She must have some serious money behind her. You don't just happen to be in these places. She must have the ability to jump on a plane at the last minute.

steven · Tennis legend

indiana wrote:
Yes, takes all sorts I guess and no doubt some money, but who's to criticise someone living the dream.
Anyway, I do see that Robyn gets routinely thrashed by ranked and unranked players alike.
Her 10 points this year, contributing to her WR 967 ( she was at a CH of 925 ) are :
1 in 10K for beating UNR
6 in 220K Q for beating WR 1136 (a WR achieved by beating 2 unranked oppnents in 10Ks )
1 in 10K for beating WR 958 ( a WR achieved by a mixture of beating unranked opponents in 10Ks and losing R1s of 25s and 220K Qs, its the way to do it )
1 in 10K for beating UNR
1 in 220K Q for being there before losing to WR 165
Her only other ever top 1000 win ( i.e. one of only two ) was beating a 19 yo Brazilian in November 2010, WR 726. Her WTA activity shows her playing and losing one more match later in 2010 and then nothing more again.
That CH of 925 was achieved in June this year, just before 4 points from last year for reaching a QF by way of beating an UNR and getting a bye came out of her score.
It is possible that some might think she is overranked....

Yes, she has a knack not only of being in the right place at the right time but also getting drawn against other players like her often enough to have got a ranking in the top 1000. Can't blame her for having a go though! I hope she's gradually managing to improve a bit through playing these events too.

Peter too · Tennis legend

Ines Janbaksh used to use a similar strategy, often entering as standby in WTA events. After disappearing for a couple of years she reappeared in a Spanish $10 a few weeks ago.

So far Robyn seems to achieved better results than Ines.

Peter too · Tennis legend

Robyn is on 3rd so about 5.30 am start UK time.

indiana · Tennis legend

Q1: BEDDOW, Robyn (GBR) 967 lost to LYKINA, Ksenia (RUS) 310 6 - 2 6 - 0

Looking at the stats, looks fairly competitive on Robyn's serve, 20/46 points won, and that includes 7 DFs ( and 1 ace ) and a 1st serve in % of 41%. Lykina took all 5 BPs that she earned.

Just 5/33 on return though ( 1/13 in the second set ).

-- Edited by indiana on Saturday 6th of October 2012 05:51:14 AM

BritInMilwaukee · Improver

R1: (8) Laura Robson (GBR) 60 v. Eleni Daniilidou (GRE) 106

Winner plays a Q or (WC) Nara

R1: Heather Watson (GBR) 71 v. Polona Hercog (SLO) 90 H2H 0-1 Hercog won in 3 sets in Toronto Q 2011

Winner plays (6) Medina Garrigues or Giorgi

Looks like a really good draw for Robson, the other seed in her section is (3) McHale, hopefully she can take full advantage

Heather looks to have a rather strong lineup ahead of her, Hercog has been as high as WR 35 and beaten her in their one match previous, and if she can get through that match, AMG is a good solid player, and Giorgi just beat Heather in 3 sets in the FQR of Beijing

Overall I'd say that Laura is a strong favorite in her section to make the quarters, and then is at worst even odds to make the semis if McHale is her opponent. Hopefully thats not a bit too much forward thinking, but it seems like Laura has the perfect opportunity to take full advantage of her first WTA seeding

NotAClue · Lower Club Player

Wow! Heathers quarter of the draw is pretty stacked. Even though she's the highest ranked non-seed in the section, every potential match in the first three rounds would be very competitive assignment against players all in a cluster around her in the rankings. Good chance though to put a really tough, hard earned string of results together.

I agree with BritInMilwaukee that, at least in theory, Laura has been well rewarded for earning a seeding. Happily, everything seems to be flowing to her favour right now, & it's hard not to see her at least improving on her 16th best score, which would also cover her Barnstaple points from last year.