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philwrig


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2011 predictions player by player.
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It's come to that time of year when we get out our crystal balls out and have a stab at predicting the year end rankings of our top girls. Learning from last year when as a group we tended  to be overoptomistic ,my predictions for 2011 I would like to think are maybe more realistic.

1. Elena Baltacha: I think it will be tough for Bally to replicate her 2010 season. Towards the end of 2010 there were clear signs a brilliant first six months of the year were beginning to catch up with her. I still think 2011 will be a good year but maybe not quite as good as 2010. Staying injury free will be the key. Year end prediction 75

2. Anne Keothavong: Conversely with Anne there was some evidence that she was rediscovering her best form in her last few tournaments.Therefore with nothing to defend with respect to grand slam ranking points there is great potential upside to Anne's current ranking. However further potential disillusionment with the game and  niggling injuries detract from this upside potential. Prediction 100.

3. Heather Watson: Heather made great progress throughout most of 2010, but sustaining that level of progress during 2011 will be a tough ask. It really will be nip and tuck whether Heather can break into the top 100 during 2011. Nothing to defend with regards to grand slam ranking points on the upside but on the downside will be defending almost 60% of her 2010 points from just three events.
Prediction 110.

4. Katie O'Brien: Probably the most difficult ranking to predict. Her level of form during 2010 was generally very poor but occasionally showed glimpses of what she is capable of notably during US open qualies. A shoulder injury could impact on her performances during the first part of next year coupled with the fact she is defending 100 points from last year's Aussie open. Prediction 195

5. Naomi Cavaday: Up until her last couple of tournaments of 2010 I would have predicted doom and gloom for 2011 but better form there gives me greater hope for next year. Love to know Cav's honest assessment of where her careers heading and what she needs to do to breakthrough to the next level. I predict plenty of highs and lows next year. Prediction 205

6. Laura Robson: Solid progress made throughout the whole of 2010 provides a great platform for substantial gains in 2011 when a fuller tournament schedule should bring a big jump in her current ranking. Will be interesting to see what effect her new coaching arrangement brings as Bok I believe was a major reason for her being so good at such a young age in the first place. Prediction 110

(to be continued)

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RBBOT


Futures qualifying

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1. Bally: I tend to agree with Phil's reasoning but I'll be a little more optimistic. 70

2. Anne: I fear she isn't going to recover the level of fitness from before her knee injury. 125

3. Heather: She'll be able to enter bigger events this year and I think she'll more than double her points, especially with chances to cash in at 3 grand slam qualifiers and a Wimbledon main draw win. Prediction 65

4. Katie: 50% of points from AU And US qualies - knock those out and she would be ranked in the 270's at the moment. Prediction 200

5. Naomi: lots of her points are from winning 1 round in a tournament with not many big totals to defend. A small improvement to 2 rounds each tournament would net her a 50% points increase, so I'm going to predict 145

6. Laura: Can enter 16 events. Can use 16 scores for her ranking. Only 4 likely merritted increases at slams/premier events will allow her to discard poor performances like everyone else can, so she will still be massively under-ranked for her skill level at the end of the year and it makes her ranking that much harder to predict. Making to the Australian open will help - she's 5-7 spots out at the moment, but surely will turn up as an alternate unless banned from doing so. Prediction 130





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philwrig


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Interesting RBBOT, I think we agree on Bally and Katie, sort of agree on Anne and Laura, but completely disagree on Heather and Cav. If Heather can get up to 65 by the end of next year that will put her comfortably on target for a top 30 ranking, I would certainly take that.

More predictions, I thought I would take our top 11 players and add in JoKo as an honorary Brit, assuming of course she does convert to GB come August.

7. Melanie South: For me she has put a halt to the slide but not shown clear evidence that she can get back up the rankings. Prediction 245

8. Naomi Broady: A big disappointment for me, looked to be heading comfortably into the top 200 and then quite possibly beyond that, but her weaknesses have become evermore obvious and I do question somewhat her determination to really make the grade. Prediction 275

9. Anna Smith: Not a big disappointment as I feel she is maximising her talent, however after a very bright start she fell away in the second half of the year. However looking increasingly like she could have a very good career as a doubles specialist. Prediction 375

10. Lisa Whybourn: A very solid year without showing any real improvement or deterioration makes me think Lisa will continue to tread water next year. Defending big points from Wimbledon
Prediction 345

11. Tara Moore: Difficult one to predict, and her ranking could go dramatically in either direction. If she can keep her current drive top 300 comfortably and possibly top 250. Prediction 275

12. Johanna Konta: Can she stay fit ? If she can, there is major upside here but since there is no evidence to suggest she can, I expect another up and down year with a little bit of improvement. Prediction 215

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kundalini


Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

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78 - Laura
90 - Heather
104 - Bally (I'm anticipating more injury trouble)
146 - Anne (retired by end of season, probably working for Eurosport instead)
148 - Naomi C
159 - Katie
240 - Naomi B
250 - Tara
320 - Mel (retired by end of season)



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LordBrownof


Futures level

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I wasn't going to predict but actually I'd like to see who posts closest to the reality at the end of the season...

Bally - all depends on how she starts the season (and injuries), if she can get through some good matches at the first few events, I'll think she'll keep improving. But with so many new points to defend I don't think there will be much progress on the ranking - 60.

Anne - I'm slightly more optimistic with Anne. I do wish she would change her coach though, she needs to take a risk, mix it up a little and try something different. She doesn't win enough of her own service games and she looks shakey under pressure. However, if she can start well I hope we'll see her creep up the ranking again - 80.

Heather - the NEW great hope. I'm not convinced she has a game that can scratch the top 20 but I think she'll progress to being a good GB top 40 player. This year though it's as much about individual results as ranking. I think with a good grass court season we could see her in the top 100. I'm going out on a limb and predict 80.

Laura - event restrictions limits opportunity. But again, for Laura this year is about big scalps and a good grass court season, not ranking. If by the end of the season she's top 200 that will put her in a great position to assualt the top player come 2012. I hope we'll see her finish 150.

Cav - too inconsistent. 200
Katie - lost it, no weapons and too many AO points to defend. 220.
Naomi - again, too inconsistent and not showing enough for me. 230.
Tara - shame about the funding. If she can stay fit I'm going 200.
Mel - who knows, impossible to read, I think she'll make small but positive progress 210.





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philwrig


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Players       Elena Anne Hev katie Cav Laura Mel NaomiB Anna S Lisa Tara JoKo

Phil               75      100  110   195 205 110    245   275      375    345 275 215
RBBOT          70      125    65   200 145 130      -        -           -         -      -     -
Kundalini      104    146    90   159 148  78     320   240        -         -    250   -
LordBrownof 60       80    80   220 200 150    210   230        -         -    200   -

I thinks thats as good as its going to get.

-- Edited by philwrig on Monday 13th of December 2010 12:38:42 PM

-- Edited by philwrig on Monday 13th of December 2010 12:39:33 PM

-- Edited by philwrig on Monday 13th of December 2010 12:44:49 PM

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alex03maccy


Grand Slam Champion

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Bally - 80
Anne - 120
Watson - 150
KOB - 200
Cav - 200
Laura - 150
Mel - 250
Broady - 200
Tara - 250
Lisa - 300

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Peter too


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Elena 49
Anne K 75
Heather 88
Laura 89
Naomi C 174
Johanna 182
Lisa 206
Tara 214
Katie 240
Naomi B 241
Mel 247
Anna S 257
Anna F 265

If Georgie started playing again early next year she could also get back inside the top 200 by year end.


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jb288


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More interested in the lower players at the moment -

Anna F - is getting wins we wouldn't expect Lisa/Anna S/Naomi B to get on a regular basis - should be looking to win plenty of 25k 1R and throwing in a few solid runs to get into the 250-280 zone next year. = 250

Lisa - has had an inconsistent year, but if she can back up her Wimbledon points with, again, 1R 25k wins on a consistent basis, she should be top 250 before too long. = 245

Katie - disagree that she has no weapons, it's simply that her weaknesses outweigh them when she's not firing. Needs to step definitively down to the 25-50 level at least initially, to get back in the habit of winning. = 130

Mel - has got as far as she can down the 25k 1Rs road! Hopefully it's just a matter of keeping plugging away and hoping inspiration strikes - careful tournament choices are really important, and not stepping up a level too quickly when she does get success. Still a great player (a league above Naomi B/Lisa atm) = 190.

Anna S - somewhat hard to tell. Can't see her replicating last year's early season form, which will affect eligibility for big-points events later. But her late-season form was so poor she has plenty to build on there = 320.

Others - Anne 80, Elena 70, Heather 75, Laura 125, Cav 170, Tara 200.

-- Edited by jb288 on Monday 13th of December 2010 07:09:26 PM

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philwrig


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Anna F is an interesting player to analyse. Saw her at Wrexham and was most impressed, now completely injury free touchwood we really should see a big jump in her ranking next year. Should have taken a set off a below par Heather there, but showed enough class to suggest to me that she should be competitive in 25k's. This week's performances further enhance that belief.
Prediction 295.

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indiana


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Elena  -  75  -  another good year without being quite as good as last year especially early on.
Heather  -  95  -  good progress taking her maybe just inside the top 100
Anne K  -  105  -  not back to her best but some good periods helping her pick up some decent points
Laura - 125  -  pretty good progress again limited from rising even higher by ongoing age restrictions on no of tournaments
Naomi C  -  160 - after a couple of faltering years a bit of steady progress with new coaching
Katie  -  195  -  at times producing decent run of results but generally frustrating
Johanna  -  210 -  a little more progress but still some periods of frustration
Mel - 230  -  fairly consistent without getting big points or truly finding her best game again
Tara  -  250  -  in spite of lack of funding retains a determination and makes real progress into the mid 200s
Naomi B  -  260  -   another year of not really majorly advancing while showing real potential in patches
Anna F  -  305  -  solid progress on a good end to 2010 and threatening the top 300
Lisa  -  320  -  picks up odd decent points weeks without getting any major build up to realy move up the rankings
Anna S -  350  -  not getting back to the real consistency she had in the first half of 2010 and falling back from this year

-- Edited by indiana on Wednesday 15th of December 2010 12:00:22 PM

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Deano


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Bally- 73
Anne.K - 77
Heather- 94
Laura- 98
Naomi.C- 172
Johanna- 198
Katie- 211
Mel- 233
Naomi.B 245
Tara- 254
Lisa- 290
Fitzy- 295
Anna.S- 334


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Josh


Challenger level

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Bally - 70
Anne - 85
Heather - 110
Laura - 130
Katie - 150
Cav - 180
Mel - 250
Naomi B - 280
Anna S - 350
Lisa - 360
Tara - 230
JoKo - 240

-- Edited by Josh on Wednesday 15th of December 2010 04:25:02 AM

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murray_2k9


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Bally - 35 - Confidence is there now. Consistency will still be an issue but with a few good draws in the big events I predict Bally is gonna really make her mark with some impressive runs.

Anne - 50 - Anne knows she is capable of top 50 tennis. I feel missing the early season this year left her feeling unsettled and out of sorts, but refreshed, rehabilitated and with an entire calendar year ahead of her Anne is going to get her mojo back.

Heather - 70 - Heather is still grossly underestimated in the eyes of British tennis fans. Her game is incredibly difficult to counter and as she gets stronger and more established in the senior game she is going to apply her natural talent and atheticism to string together brilliant results.

Laura - 110. Lauras big game will keep her a threat and allow her to climb but she wont be able to sort out her movement sufficiently to break the top 100. Players are able to exploit her poor movement too easily and Laura quickly lets her frustration known when her obvious flaw is exploited.

Katie - 120. Katies form has been awful. It seems to annoy her but not really concern her which is strange. Really no idea how she will do but I hope she sorts it out and starts moving back up.


Cav - 150. Agree with other opinions that this is a big season for Cav and she can hopefully sort whatever is holding her back out and start to channel the potential we all know is there.


Mel - 170. Like Katie, a player who is really a mystery and can be capable of so much and deliver so little. Hope to see her at 170 at least, if not higher.

Tara - 180 - Im gonna be optimistic (no sh*t, right?) and say that this next year will be a huge one for Tara. I think shes got something extra determination wise that we havent seen in a lot of our youngsters and she will be keen to at least stay within reach of Laura and Heather. I think 180 at least from her but I wouldnt be surprised if she goes higher. Shes definitely the dark horse of womens British tennis.

Fitzy - 200. Continuing with the optimism, Anna has been on a hot streat, with her end of season ranking likely to finish around the 390 mark, with only 4 points to defend until the end of may. I can see her finishing around the 200 mark.

Naomi B - 220- such a stagnant season from Naomi. Hugely dissapointing after her incredible comeback. I think her game is still rather fragile but she should hopefully break the top 200.

Lisa - 225. Has flown under the radar quite considerably despite the most impressive climb in ranking outside of the two british wonder kids. Definitely proved she was capable of the 'Where did that come from?' performances last year and continued the trend this year with a straight set run to the FQR of Wimbledon. I think next season will be make or break in terms of her ultimate potential. Mentally she has the right attitude, even attempting WTA qualies which she earned a win on in her debut, so another one to watch I believe. :)

JoKo - 230 - Never really hear much about JoKo about her schedule / injuries / how she feels she is progressing etc. so dont have a lot of insight. Definitely seems to be able to string the good tournaments together but is still hugely inconsistent. Could be another one to watch IMO.

Anna S - 240. When injury free she can be hugely impressive. Can see her being anywhere between 200 and 400 depending on injuries. Potentially may start leaning towards doubles which she seems to go deeper with.







-- Edited by murray_2k9 on Wednesday 15th of December 2010 04:22:48 PM

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LordBrownof


Futures level

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No one has predicted a breakthrough from the lower ranked players. Anyone want to put their neck on the line a predict a Joss Rae type player breakthrough into the top 300?

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