Boggo's competitors Week 7 (San Jose etc..)

RobC · All-time great

Boggo's competitors Week 7 (San Jose etc..)

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

RobC wrote:

Bethan, are you set up to do "what- ifs" down this low?

Not quite yet but will be come the end of tomorrow, hope you can all wait that long, if not pester Rob into doing it earlier!

RobC · All-time great

Good news overnight: Guzman and Granollers were both knocked out of Costa do Sauipe qualies, leaving just Marcus Daniel in the Q draw.

Only him and Igor Andreev still in action on the table. Obviously the union of amalgamated players ranked around 140 -170 has gone on strike this week.

The updated table is posted here

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Hmm. My computer really doesn't want me to post this lets see if third time lucky works (good job I saved it this time, re-writing the whole thing is not fun.)

I've not taken into account any 1st round results but here is the 'what if' post:

Boggo will end the week on 289 points, same as he started it. 8 players can overtake him, which -all things considered- isn't too bad. Especially when we look at how they can overtake:

Brain Wilson(W in S)[a WC ranked 249],Dutra Silva (f in C), Andujar (f in C), Warburg (f in S), Stakhovsky (f in S),Guez (s in M), Daniel (q in C), Saretta (rd2 in C).

All four in Brazil overtake but they have to do silly things like beat the top seed. Saretta's match is against Di Mauro so he is the #1 threat. two of the three in San Jose could overtake but again it's highly unlikely. so:
best case:149 (+5)
Worst case:156 (-2)

Edit: well it worked but completely mucked up the format so I'll just tidy it up again...Oh and removed all the names

-- Edited by imoen at 22:20, 2007-02-12

Madeline · Admin:Moderator + Tennis Legend

Dutra Silva and Stakhovsky both gone

RobC · All-time great

No need to update the table today - Boggo land had a national holiday.

Saretta is playing Di Mauro in CDS tonight. Guez is playing Saulnier in Marseilles today.

johnnylad · Tennis legend

so is it now a worst case 154?

Count Zero · Tennis legend

will this low ranking mean alex can still make the atp Q cuts. would be a bit of a disaater if he missed out on those, as i assume he wont be entering challengers bar sunrise.

its not all doom and gloom tho, his worclaw perfoamce was good, it was a tough event and the feedback seems everyone played great there, its just in comparison with bergamo last year. Alex has 36 points to defend untill after wimby now, so still a good chance for progess if he can stay fit.

johnnylad · Tennis legend

Needs a good couple of months? How many more tournaments can he play that aren't clay between now and the French Open?

Count Zero · Tennis legend

hmm, at least 3 challengers, sunrise, valencia & tallahasse, and probably others there is normally a uk one at easter and normally lanzarote. He is unlikey to play all of them so they say 4-5 challengers

ATP qualies, you have memphisis, las vegas, miami, indian wells, so 4 chances there as well.

As for clay i am not sure how much he will play this year, last year he just went for RGQ i wonder if he does the same this year.

edit: or Lundi might tell him he has to play nmore clay, try and develop his all round game for the better. clay tennis migth help tougen him up for tbhe rallies.

-- Edited by Count Zero at 09:58, 2007-02-13

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

johnnylad wrote:

so is it now a worst case 154?

Yep. no change on the week.

Count, I don't know about future ATPq draws but this week guys ranked 249 and 194 qualified in San Jose, guys ranked 216 and 160 qualified in Brazil and 2 guys outside the top 250 qualified in Marseille. All of them are below Boggo and all got through 3 rounds of qualies so chances are they weren't the lowest ranked players. I don't think we need to worry overly much just yet.

He may not get into the qualies of Indian Wells and Miami though - don't know when those lists come out.

I'm sure he'll climb back up the rankings, the points are all so close around the 150mark that places change a lot with only a few points gained. Also quite a lot of points are being defended around him over the next couple of weeks.

johnnylad · Tennis legend

Quite encouraging how many tournamenst he could play whilst avoiding clay!

Thanks COunt. You're right though, Lundi might encourage him to play more. Its just such a lottery for him, because he has a chance vs most people on other surfaces but he would have to gets amazing draws to wins many points on clay!

Sunrise, Tallahassee and Valencia. Are they all USA? Is that the American Valencia or the Spanish one? Lanzarote obviously Spanish! And one in Britain. Is that Cardiff?

Like you, Count, I'm fairly confident with not quite so much to defedn he can get back into top 120 by Wimbledon!

Count Zero · Tennis legend

its the american valencia,
i think its cardiff, but the only challengers up on the calender are US ones that far ahead, so i am remebering back to last year.

Last rear at RG he had a good opening win then lost to a guy ranked really low. i think he can play on clay, he just doesnt like it

johnnylad · Tennis legend

Thanks count!

RobC · All-time great

Guez is out of Marseille

. Unfortunately his victor, Saulnier ends up overtaking Jonny M and going level with Alan Mackin. As Saulnier has a remote chance of overtaking if he wins Marseille, that leaves the worst case still 154.