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Post Info TOPIC: Week 15 - ITF ($25K) - Obidos, Portugal Carpet


All-time great

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RE: Week 15 - ITF ($25K) - Obidos, Portugal Carpet


As I've said before - You'll never see a Bookie on a bike smile



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Tennis legend

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It's just pretty interesting to see how they are priced. Other Brits odds are up now:

Freya 1/10 vs 11/2 Ka
Boulter 1/8 vs 9/2 Lee
Swan 2/7 vs 5/2 Hatouka

So those would suggest that Katie S has the toughest match on paper out of those 3.

There are a couple of rank outsiders:

Monticone 1/50 vs 10/1 Quiterio (local wild card I'd imagine)
Cavelle-Reimers 1/50 vs Santos 10/1 (as above)


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Ace Ventura wrote:

I know some on here don't take too much notice in odds, but I was really surprised to see the prices in the Maia match. Rodionova is the favourite as expected, but she is just 4/6 compared to Maia's 11/10, so not much in it. For context, that is exactly the same in the Rybakina-Dart match in Istanbul, with the young Russian the 4/6 favourite despite being lower ranked, so it's not just British money influencing the odds.

Would be fantastic if Maia could pull it off.


Not sure re weight of British money. But one could argue that in Istanbul Rybakina maybe should be a strong favourite on her junior pedigree and some of her results this year. So arguably that is also the British player shorter odds than might be expected. I think 4/6 for the Russian looks pretty decent, sorry Harriet. I agree Maia's odds look rather short.

I would certainly think that both the bookies' initial odds and then the punters' bets and influence on these odds take account of much more than comparative rankings.



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indiana wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:

I know some on here don't take too much notice in odds, but I was really surprised to see the prices in the Maia match. Rodionova is the favourite as expected, but she is just 4/6 compared to Maia's 11/10, so not much in it. For context, that is exactly the same in the Rybakina-Dart match in Istanbul, with the young Russian the 4/6 favourite despite being lower ranked, so it's not just British money influencing the odds.

Would be fantastic if Maia could pull it off.


Not sure re weight of British money. But one could argue that in Istanbul Rybakina maybe should be a strong favourite on her junior pedigree and some of her results this year. So arguably that is also the British player shorter odds than might be expected. I think 4/6 for the Russian looks pretty decent, sorry Harriet. I agree Maia's odds look rather short.

I would certainly think that both the bookies' initial odds and then the punters' bets and influence on these odds take account of much more than comparative rankings.


 To be honest, I was actually thinking that regarding Rybakina, particularly with her Garcia win (with that infamous match point). In terms of potential, Harriet will do very well to make the top 100, whereas you'd be shocked if the Russian didn't at some stage.

 

I'm just fascinated by odds and if you do think Lumsden is too short, and that looks the case, then at 4/6 there is a decent opportunity to make a bit on the Aussie. A double on her and the Russian would be decent value, not that I'm advocating betting against the Brits of course.

 

In terms of general odds, I was expecting more like at least 2/9 vs 3/1 in the Lumsden match so it did catch my eye. I won't be putting on any bets though and hope we get a lot of our players progressing tomorrow.



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Tennis legend

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Another thing to note is that in her match today, Dart started out at a (not too big) 1/2 favourite vs 6/4 opponent and when I checked just before it started they were even closer at 8/11 Dart and 1/1 or evens for the opponent and obviously the way the match went, it didn't reflect those tight odds, so it's not always a case of the Brit is priced too short.

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Tennis legend

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Play finally under way. Maia is second match on court 1, followed by Katie B and Katie S. Freya is the fouth match on court 3. I wonder how far they will get today !

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Satellite level

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Yay! We have play in Obidos.  

Live streaming is available. 



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Strong Club Player

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RedSquirrel wrote:

Yay! We have play in Obidos.  

Live streaming is available. 


 Is there a way of getting to the stream other than the ITF website, which hasn't been working for me the last couple of days or so?



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Tennis legend

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There's a good stream on

videostream.dn.ua/videopage/videoPage.php

Matches listed on the menu on the right - when it starts any moment now, as the first match is finished

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Tennis legend

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Immediate break for Rod. Not sure who served first but it's 0-2 either way.

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Tennis legend

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1-2* Maia served first and holds to 30.

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Tennis legend

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Nice to see sunshine there !!!!

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Tennis legend

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Maia loses the first set 2-6, but from the bits I saw, you wouldn't think there was 300 odd places between them and there were a few close games there. Mind, my stream was jumpy and I had to have the volume down as it sounded more blustery than some of those recent Aussie ITF matches.

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Tennis legend

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1-0 40-15*

2 BPs for Maia. She is getting chances and had 30-15* a few times in that first set. Not over roared at all.

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Tennis legend

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She got the break, not sure if to 15 or 30 as on was in here.

2-6 *2-0

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