Great work by Sascha Zverev at the ATP finals but he is not close enough to prevent 15 years ( 784 weeks ) of the big 4 sharing the WR 1 position come the 04/02/19 rankings. This run started when Fed first became WR 1 on 02/02/04.
The number of weeks up to the start of the Australian Open on 14/01/19 will be :
Federer - 310 weeks (1st in total weeks of the 26 #1s since 1973) Djokovic - 234 (5th) Nadal - 196 (6th) Murray - 41 (14th)
The rankings at 27/05 going into the French Open will see 'the big 4' reach 800 successive weeks at WR 1 without anyone else getting a look in. Or likely to anytime soon.
Federer 310 weeks Djokovic 253 Nadal 196 Murray 41
Could Dominic Thiem be the player that ends the over 16 year dynasty of one of 4 players being ATP #1?
Rankings at 14.09.20
1. N Djokovic 10860 points 2. R Nadal 9850 3. D Thiem 9125
In the short term Djoko has most chance to improve his points if he behaves ( 600 and 720 points from last year's Rome Masters and French Open respectively ). Nadal cannot improve on maximum points from these two events and Thiem only on his RU 1200 points from the French Open.
Not this year for Thiem. I think Novak and Rafa will hang on for one more year. But changing of the guard will happen this year for the new top 4 by Aus/French Open 2022. My prediction will be they year Rafa fails to win the French that it happens. I have him down for one more French in 2021 in the meantime.
Could Dominic Thiem be the player that ends the over 16 year dynasty of one of 4 players being ATP #1?
17 years, now.
If my maths is right, it will be 900 weeks sometime in May (5th?)
Edit: although that includes 22 weeks of limbo - I don't know if that counts or not?
-- Edited by christ on Monday 15th of February 2021 01:56:08 PM
Yes, it certainly can be said to be over 17 years since anyone else was #1.
Even not counting these 22 suspended weeks in the individual counts, according to wiki Djokovic is just about to pass Ferderer's total weeks at #1. The 22/02/21 rankings will take it to Federer 310 weeks, Djokovic 309 ( Nadal 209 ). And Djokovic will be #1 for a while yet.
It's been mentioned elsewhere but worth noting here, now that Medvedev has actually succeeded in winning 2 rounds on RG clay, that he could theoretically go to WR 1 after RG. It does for starters need him to somehow reach the final ( enough if Djokovic doesn't reach the final from the top half ). If both Djokovic and Medvedev reach the final the winner will be WR 1.
Current live rankings :
1. Djokovic 10713 ( 11313 - 50% of his 1200 points for being 2020 runner up )
2. Medvedev 9873 ( 9793 + so far 80 additional points over his existing 10 RG points )
Potential points :
Djokovic : champion 12113, runner up 11313 ( any RG points above 600 add to his live total )
Medvedev : champion 11783, runner up 10983 ( every extra RG point he earns will add to his live total )
Nadal will be at best WR 3 after RG, having to win the title again just to stay on 9630 points.
Yes, still at the RG QF stage Medvedev could have theoretically gone to WR 1 after RG. But in fact not close to truly happening and Djokovic increased his points lead at the top.
And Djoko of course has the first two slams of the season and his eye on the Grand Slam in 2021.
Probably the golden slam (assuming Olympics goes ahead and he plays it)
Yep, I didnt mention the Olympics as i am not sure I like the comparison of the Golden Slam with the times of Laver who could never play the Olympics, of course. But also I personally dont think it should go ahead and am also sure it will likely have a reduced entry standard regardless and not , as such, carry as much weight.
And Djoko of course has the first two slams of the season and his eye on the Grand Slam in 2021.
Probably the golden slam (assuming Olympics goes ahead and he plays it)
Yep, I didnt mention the Olympics as i am not sure I like the comparison of the Golden Slam with the times of Laver who could never play the Olympics, of course. But also I personally dont think it should go ahead and am also sure it will likely have a reduced entry standard regardless and not , as such, carry as much weight.
Regardless of the Olympics situation, I think he will be targeting it and likely winning all 5 this year.
With Djookovic now only one Slam title behind Federer and Nadal and having won all 4 Slams at least twice, with a more balanced Slam spread, plus having positive overall H2H records against the other two, it may become increasingly difficult to suggest that Djokovic is not the era's best for on court achievement.
The argument may then be more about whether he ends up the all-time GOAT. Many might say an ugly GOAT but the GOAT nevertheless.
-- Edited by indiana on Monday 14th of June 2021 02:33:29 PM
With Djookovic now only one Slam title behind Federer and Nadal and having won all 4 Slams at least twice, with a more balanced Slam spread, plus having positive overall H2H records against the other two, it may become increasingly difficult to suggest that Djokovic is not the era's best for on court achievement.
The argument may then be more about whether he ends up the GOAT. Many might say an ugly GOAT but the GOAT nevertheless.
Rabid fans of Fed and Nadal will always back their man but the more average and saner fan will likely view Djoko as the GOAT yes. I would rather either the other two be the GOAT but it is what it is